FLA vs CAR

Playoff Series Matchup Analysis

Back to Bracket
Team Comparison Head-to-head stats
FLA
Florida Panthers
Home Team 94.7%
Stanley Cup Probability
46.6% +43.0%
Rank: 3rd
Initial: 3.5% April 17, 2025 → May 25, 2025
Conference Win Probability
0.0% -7.0%
Initial: 7.0%
Win Probability
94.7%
Avg Goals/Game
3.17
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
Away Team 5.3%
Stanley Cup Probability
2.9% -2.5%
Rank: 5th
Initial: 5.4%
Conference Win Probability
0.0% -10.8%
Initial: 10.8%
Win Probability
5.3%
Avg Goals/Game
2.87
Series Status Current: FLA 0-0 CAR
0
FLA
CAR
0
Game Home Team Away Team Score Winner Status
Game 1   FLA   CAR - - Next Game
Game 2   FLA   CAR - - Scheduled
Game 3   CAR   FLA - - Scheduled
Game 4   CAR   FLA - - Scheduled
Game 5   FLA   CAR - - If Necessary
Game 6   CAR   FLA - - If Necessary
Game 7   FLA   CAR - - If Necessary

This table displays the current status of the series. Game results are updated daily with the latest CSV data.

Series Prediction Analytics

Detailed statistical breakdown of this playoff matchup

Series Win Probability
Overall chance of winning the series
FLA
CAR
Key Outcomes
Sweep (4-0)
Either team wins in 4 games
54.8%
Game 7 Decider
Series goes the distance
10.4%
FLA has a 94.7% chance of winning this series compared to CAR's 5.3% chance.
Series Length Distribution
Probability of the series ending in specific number of games
Based on the distribution, a 7-game series is the most probable outcome.
Exact Series Scores
Probability of specific win-loss outcomes
Outcome Winner Score Probability
  FLA in 42 FLA 4-2 12.7%
  FLA in 40 FLA 4-0 54.3%
  FLA in 43 FLA 4-3 5.0%
  CAR in 43 CAR 4-3 5.5%
  FLA in 41 FLA 4-1 22.6%
Comparison between initial (April 17, 2025) and current (May 25, 2025) predictions
The most common outcome is likely to be a 4-3 series win.
Game by Game Probabilities
Win probability for each potential game in the series
FLA has the highest win probability in Game 1 at home (45.2%%).
Game Over/Under Probabilities
Probability of total goals exceeding thresholds for each game
Game Teams Over 5.5 Goals Over 6.5 Goals Winner By 2+ Goals
Game 4     CAR vs FLA 55.2% - 40.1% -
Game 5*     FLA vs CAR 56.6% 41.5%   FLA: 54.7%
Game 6*     CAR vs FLA 55.6% 39.2%   CAR: 55.1%
Game 7*     FLA vs CAR 56.3% 41.9%   FLA: 56.4%
  • Over 5.5/6.5 Goals: Probability of the total combined score exceeding this threshold.
  • Winner By 2+ Goals: Probability of the favored team winning by 2 or more goals.
* Games 5-7 will only be played if necessary. Comparison between initial predictions (April 17, 2025) and current predictions (May 25, 2025)