LAK vs EDM

Playoff Series Matchup Analysis

Back to Bracket
Team Comparison Head-to-head stats
LAK
Los Angeles Kings
Home Team 94.5%
Stanley Cup Probability
12.1% +5.2%
Rank: 3rd
Initial: 6.9% April 17, 2025 → April 25, 2025
Conference Win Probability
23.7% +9.8%
Initial: 13.9%
Win Probability
94.5%
Avg Goals/Game
3.67
EDM
Edmonton Oilers
Away Team 5.5%
Stanley Cup Probability
0.7% -4.9%
Rank: 5th
Initial: 5.5%
Conference Win Probability
1.4% -9.6%
Initial: 10.9%
Win Probability
5.5%
Avg Goals/Game
2.50
Series Status Current: LAK 2-0 EDM
2
LAK
EDM
0
Game Home Team Away Team Score Winner Status
Game 1   LAK   EDM 6 - 5   LAK Completed
Game 2   LAK   EDM 6 - 2   LAK Completed
Game 3   EDM   LAK - - Next Game
Game 4   EDM   LAK - - Scheduled
Game 5   LAK   EDM - - If Necessary
Game 6   EDM   LAK - - If Necessary
Game 7   LAK   EDM - - If Necessary

This table displays the current status of the series. Game results are updated daily with the latest CSV data.

Series Prediction Analytics

Detailed statistical breakdown of this playoff matchup

Series Win Probability
Overall chance of winning the series
LAK
EDM
Win Probability Changes
Team Initial Current Change
  LAK 55.8% 94.5% +38.8%
  EDM 44.2% 5.5% -38.8%
Comparison between initial predictions (April 17, 2025) and current predictions (April 25, 2025)
Key Outcomes
Sweep (4-0)
Either team wins in 4 games
54.3%
Game 7 Decider
Series goes the distance
10.6%
LAK has a 94.5% chance of winning this series compared to EDM's 5.5% chance.
Series Length Distribution
Probability of the series ending in specific number of games
Series Length Changes
Games Initial Current Change
4 Games 12.7% 54.3% +41.6%
5 Games 24.3% 22.4% -1.9%
6 Games 31.5% 12.7% -18.9%
7 Games 31.4% 10.6% -20.9%
Comparison between initial predictions (April 17, 2025) and current predictions (April 25, 2025)
Based on the distribution, a 7-game series is the most probable outcome.
Exact Series Scores
Probability of specific win-loss outcomes
Outcome Winner Score Initial Current Change
  LAK in 43 LAK 4-3 16.0% 15.4% -0.1%
  EDM in 40 EDM 4-0 5.3% 5.4% +2.3%
  LAK in 42 LAK 4-2 12.9% 17.3% +0.6%
  EDM in 41 EDM 4-1 11.1% 11.1% +2.8%
Comparison between initial (April 17, 2025) and current (April 25, 2025) predictions
The most common outcome is likely to be a 4-3 series win.
Game by Game Probabilities
Win probability for each potential game in the series
Win Probability Changes
Game Team Initial Current Change
Game 1   LAK 50.2% 50.2% 0.0%
  EDM 33.8% 33.8% 0.0%
Game 2   LAK 49.8% 49.8% 0.0%
  EDM 34.2% 34.2% 0.0%
Game 3   EDM 44.3% 44.3% 0.0%
  LAK 39.7% 39.7% 0.0%
Game 4   EDM 44.0% 45.7% +1.7%
  LAK 39.9% 38.1% -1.8%
Comparison between initial predictions (April 17, 2025) and current predictions (April 25, 2025)
LAK has the highest win probability in Game 1 at home (50.2%%).
Game Over/Under Probabilities
Probability of total goals exceeding thresholds for each game
Game Teams Over 5.5 Goals Over 6.5 Goals
Prob Change Prob Change
Game 1     LAK vs EDM 51.1% 0.0% 36.2% 0.0%
Game 2     LAK vs EDM 51.0% 0.0% 35.4% 0.0%
Game 3     EDM vs LAK 52.0% 0.0% 36.1% 0.0%
Game 4     EDM vs LAK 53.4% +1.9% 37.4% +1.5%
Game 5*     LAK vs EDM 52.6% +0.9% 37.4% +1.1%
Game 6*     EDM vs LAK 53.1% -0.6% 37.6% +0.2%
Game 7*     LAK vs EDM 57.7% +4.1% 40.1% +2.7%
  • Over 5.5/6.5 Goals: Probability of the total combined score exceeding this threshold.
  • Winner By 2+ Goals: Probability of the favored team winning by 2 or more goals.
* Games 5-7 will only be played if necessary. Comparison between initial predictions (April 17, 2025) and current predictions (April 25, 2025)