DET vs TOR - 2025-10-04
2025-10-04 • Little Caesars Arena
DET 6 - 5 TOR
🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 40.4%
TOR: 59.6%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.18
TOR: 4.25
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 62%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA
TOR
Dennis Hildeby - 3-5-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.90 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:08 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 15:57 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 17:45 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 05:04 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 12:33 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:03 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:57 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:48 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:19 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:29 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 03:23 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 7.4
Score Breakdown
DET 6 - 5 TOR
Expected: 3.2 - 4.2