NHL Playoff Odds 2026

Live NHL playoff odds and Stanley Cup probabilities powered by our season-long simulation. Use this page as your hub for playoff predictions and bracket paths.

Compare teams on our NHL team pages, or start from today's NHL predictions and game-by-game odds to see how nightly edges drive these playoff projections. For methodology and calibration details, see our model performance and metrics guide.

Division Standings

Top three in each division currently hold playoff spots. GB = games back from division leader, GR = games remaining, SOS = average opponent points percentage. Based on 2025-26 results.

Atlantic Division

#	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
1	TBL	56	38-14-4	80	--	26	57.9%	99.4%
2	MTL	57	32-17-8	72	4.0	25	57.5%	91.3%
3	BUF	58	33-19-6	72	4.0	24	58.0%	74.0%
4	DET	58	33-19-6	72	4.0	24	57.8%	89.2%
5	BOS	57	32-20-5	69	5.5	25	58.6%	71.7%
6	OTT	57	28-22-7	63	8.5	25	57.3%	24.1%
7	TOR	58	27-22-9	63	8.5	24	56.8%	3.7%
8	FLA	57	29-25-3	61	9.5	25	56.2%	3.6%

Metropolitan Division

#	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
1	CAR	57	36-15-6	78	--	25	56.9%	99.4%
2	PIT	56	29-15-12	70	4.0	26	59.2%	89.4%
3	NYI	58	32-21-5	69	4.5	24	56.9%	68.8%
4	WSH	60	30-23-7	67	5.5	22	56.7%	5.9%
5	CBJ	56	29-20-7	65	6.5	26	57.7%	73.8%
6	PHI	57	25-21-11	61	8.5	25	57.1%	5.3%
7	NJD	58	28-28-2	58	10.0	24	55.5%	0.5%
8	NYR	57	22-29-6	50	14.0	25	55.9%	0.0%

Central Division

#	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
1	COL	56	38-9-9	85	--	26	54.1%	100.0%
2	DAL	58	35-14-9	79	3.0	24	57.3%	100.0%
3	MIN	58	34-14-10	78	3.5	24	56.9%	100.0%
4	UTA	58	30-24-4	64	10.5	24	54.5%	57.4%
5	NSH	57	26-24-7	59	13.0	25	55.9%	38.8%
6	WPG	57	23-26-8	54	15.5	25	56.3%	1.1%
7	CHI	57	22-26-9	53	16.0	25	56.4%	7.9%
8	STL	57	20-28-9	49	18.0	25	56.3%	0.1%

Pacific Division

#	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
1	VGK	58	28-16-14	70	--	24	56.0%	90.0%
2	ANA	57	31-23-3	65	2.5	25	52.8%	78.7%
3	EDM	59	28-23-8	64	3.0	23	57.1%	65.7%
4	SEA	57	27-21-9	63	3.5	25	56.0%	60.1%
5	LAK	57	23-20-14	60	5.0	25	52.5%	27.7%
6	SJS	55	27-24-4	58	6.0	27	52.7%	54.6%
7	CGY	56	23-27-6	52	9.0	26	58.3%	17.8%
8	VAN	58	18-33-7	43	13.5	24	56.7%	0.0%

Wild Card Race

Top two in each conference earn wild card berths. GB is relative to WC2.

Bubble watch (within 5 points of WC2): Eastern bubble: WSH (2 pts), CBJ (4 pts) • Western bubble: LAK (3 pts), NSH (4 pts), SJS (5 pts)

Eastern Conference

WC	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
WC1	DET	58	33-19-6	72	--	24	57.8%	89.2%
WC2	BOS	57	32-20-5	69	--	25	58.6%	71.7%
	WSH	60	30-23-7	67	1.0	22	56.7%	5.9%
	CBJ	56	29-20-7	65	2.0	26	57.7%	73.8%
	OTT	57	28-22-7	63	3.0	25	57.3%	24.1%
	TOR	58	27-22-9	63	3.0	24	56.8%	3.7%
	FLA	57	29-25-3	61	4.0	25	56.2%	3.6%
	PHI	57	25-21-11	61	4.0	25	57.1%	5.3%
	NJD	58	28-28-2	58	5.5	24	55.5%	0.5%
	NYR	57	22-29-6	50	9.5	25	55.9%	0.0%

Western Conference

WC	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
WC1	UTA	58	30-24-4	64	--	24	54.5%	57.4%
WC2	SEA	57	27-21-9	63	--	25	56.0%	60.1%
	LAK	57	23-20-14	60	1.5	25	52.5%	27.7%
	NSH	57	26-24-7	59	2.0	25	55.9%	38.8%
	SJS	55	27-24-4	58	2.5	27	52.7%	54.6%
	WPG	57	23-26-8	54	4.5	25	56.3%	1.1%
	CHI	57	22-26-9	53	5.0	25	56.4%	7.9%
	CGY	56	23-27-6	52	5.5	26	58.3%	17.8%
	STL	57	20-28-9	49	7.0	25	56.3%	0.1%
	VAN	58	18-33-7	43	10.0	24	56.7%	0.0%

Monte Carlo simulation results showing probabilities of winning each team's conference title and the Stanley Cup.

Eastern Conference

Team	Make Playoffs	Conf Title	Cup Odds
CAR	99.4%	18.2%	12.2%
MTL	91.3%	16.4%	10.1%
PIT	89.4%	12.9%	8.3%
CBJ	73.8%	11.4%	6.6%
BOS	71.7%	11.2%	6.8%
DET	89.2%	11.2%	6.4%
NYI	68.8%	5.1%	2.6%
TBL	99.4%	4.9%	2.2%
BUF	74.0%	4.4%	2.0%
OTT	24.1%	3.4%	1.9%
FLA	3.6%	0.4%	0.2%
PHI	5.3%	0.3%	0.1%
WSH	5.9%	0.2%	0.1%
TOR	3.7%	0.1%	0.1%
NJD	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
NYR	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Western Conference

Team	Make Playoffs	Conf Title	Cup Odds
MIN	100.0%	30.7%	16.3%
COL	100.0%	10.9%	3.8%
SJS	54.6%	10.7%	4.6%
NSH	38.8%	7.4%	3.0%
ANA	78.7%	7.0%	2.2%
VGK	90.0%	6.9%	2.0%
EDM	65.7%	6.0%	1.8%
UTA	57.4%	5.5%	2.1%
DAL	100.0%	4.9%	1.4%
SEA	60.1%	3.7%	1.0%
CGY	17.8%	3.1%	1.2%
LAK	27.7%	1.8%	0.4%
CHI	7.9%	1.4%	0.6%
WPG	1.1%	0.0%	0.0%
STL	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
VAN	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Bracket (Most Likely Path)

Eastern Conference

Round 1

Atlantic

TBL37.0%

BOS63.0%

DET60.1%

BUF39.9%

Metropolitan

CAR51.6%

MTL48.4%

NYI43.9%

PIT56.1%

Division Finals

BOS47.3%

DET52.7%

CAR52.5%

PIT47.5%

Conference Final

DET39.8%

CAR60.2%

Western Conference

Round 1

Central

COL54.4%

UTA45.6%

MIN74.9%

DAL25.1%

Pacific

VGK57.9%

SEA42.1%

EDM56.6%

ANA43.4%

Division Finals

COL35.7%

MIN64.3%

VGK50.4%

EDM49.6%

Conference Final

MIN71.1%

VGK28.9%

First team listed has home ice (2-2-1-1-1). Percentages are series win probabilities; later rounds show the most likely matchup based on Round 1.