NHL Playoff Odds 2026

Live NHL playoff odds and Stanley Cup probabilities powered by our season-long simulation. Use this page as your hub for playoff predictions and bracket paths.

Compare teams on our NHL team pages, or start from today's NHL predictions and game-by-game odds to see how nightly edges drive these playoff projections. For methodology and calibration details, see our model performance and metrics guide.

Division Standings

Top three in each division currently hold playoff spots. GB = games back from division leader, GR = games remaining, SOS = average opponent points percentage. Based on 2025-26 results.

Atlantic Division

#	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
1	TBL	47	30-17-0	60	--	35	50.6%	99.2%
2	DET	50	30-20-0	60	—	32	52.1%	54.8%
3	BOS	49	28-21-0	56	2.0	33	51.5%	94.5%
4	BUF	48	27-21-0	54	3.0	35	51.5%	72.9%
5	MTL	49	27-22-0	54	3.0	33	52.9%	83.3%
6	FLA	48	25-23-0	50	5.0	35	49.7%	15.7%
7	TOR	49	24-25-0	48	6.0	34	51.4%	27.2%
8	OTT	48	22-26-0	44	8.0	34	52.4%	0.2%

Metropolitan Division

#	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
1	CAR	50	30-20-0	60	--	33	48.8%	100.0%
2	NYI	49	27-22-0	54	3.0	34	48.4%	83.2%
3	NJD	49	25-24-0	50	5.0	34	48.6%	62.8%
4	WSH	50	25-25-0	50	5.0	33	50.7%	19.1%
5	PHI	48	23-25-0	46	7.0	35	51.1%	1.0%
6	PIT	48	23-25-0	46	7.0	35	51.7%	41.4%
7	CBJ	48	22-26-0	44	8.0	34	51.4%	38.3%
8	NYR	50	22-28-0	44	8.0	33	50.1%	6.4%

Central Division

#	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
1	COL	47	33-14-0	66	--	36	47.5%	100.0%
2	MIN	50	28-22-0	56	5.0	33	50.5%	99.9%
3	DAL	49	27-22-0	54	6.0	33	49.8%	78.6%
4	UTA	49	25-24-0	50	8.0	33	48.5%	95.3%
5	NSH	48	23-25-0	46	10.0	34	49.6%	34.1%
6	WPG	48	20-28-0	40	13.0	35	50.0%	11.0%
7	CHI	49	19-30-0	38	14.0	34	51.1%	0.0%
8	STL	49	19-30-0	38	14.0	33	49.6%	0.0%

Pacific Division

#	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
1	SJS	48	25-23-0	50	--	35	47.5%	51.4%
2	EDM	50	25-25-0	50	—	32	50.1%	99.2%
3	VGK	48	24-24-0	48	1.0	35	48.2%	90.6%
4	ANA	49	24-25-0	48	1.0	34	47.7%	87.8%
5	SEA	48	21-27-0	42	4.0	35	49.6%	9.6%
6	CGY	49	21-28-0	42	4.0	34	51.2%	41.8%
7	LAK	48	19-29-0	38	6.0	34	48.4%	0.5%
8	VAN	49	16-33-0	32	9.0	34	49.0%	0.3%

Wild Card Race

Top two in each conference earn wild card berths. GB is relative to WC2.

Bubble watch (within 5 points of WC2): Eastern bubble: FLA (4 pts), WSH (4 pts) • Western bubble: NSH (2 pts)

Eastern Conference

WC	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
WC1	BUF	48	27-21-0	54	--	35	51.5%	72.9%
WC2	MTL	49	27-22-0	54	--	33	52.9%	83.3%
	FLA	48	25-23-0	50	2.0	35	49.7%	15.7%
	WSH	50	25-25-0	50	2.0	33	50.7%	19.1%
	TOR	49	24-25-0	48	3.0	34	51.4%	27.2%
	PHI	48	23-25-0	46	4.0	35	51.1%	1.0%
	PIT	48	23-25-0	46	4.0	35	51.7%	41.4%
	CBJ	48	22-26-0	44	5.0	34	51.4%	38.3%
	OTT	48	22-26-0	44	5.0	34	52.4%	0.2%
	NYR	50	22-28-0	44	5.0	33	50.1%	6.4%

Western Conference

WC	Team	GP	Record	PTS	GB	GR	SOS	Playoff Odds
WC1	UTA	49	25-24-0	50	--	33	48.5%	95.3%
WC2	ANA	49	24-25-0	48	--	34	47.7%	87.8%
	NSH	48	23-25-0	46	1.0	34	49.6%	34.1%
	SEA	48	21-27-0	42	3.0	35	49.6%	9.6%
	CGY	49	21-28-0	42	3.0	34	51.2%	41.8%
	WPG	48	20-28-0	40	4.0	35	50.0%	11.0%
	LAK	48	19-29-0	38	5.0	34	48.4%	0.5%
	CHI	49	19-30-0	38	5.0	34	51.1%	0.0%
	STL	49	19-30-0	38	5.0	33	49.6%	0.0%
	VAN	49	16-33-0	32	8.0	34	49.0%	0.3%

Monte Carlo simulation results showing probabilities of winning each team's conference title and the Stanley Cup.

Eastern Conference

Team	Conf Title	Cup Odds
CAR	55.4%	26.4%
BOS	13.9%	3.2%
MTL	10.4%	1.9%
PIT	4.9%	0.6%
TBL	3.4%	0.5%
CBJ	2.7%	0.3%
TOR	2.4%	0.3%
BUF	2.0%	0.2%
NJD	1.9%	0.2%
NYI	1.7%	0.2%
WSH	0.7%	0.1%
DET	0.3%	0.0%
NYR	0.1%	0.0%
FLA	0.1%	0.0%
PHI	0.0%	0.0%
OTT	0.0%	0.0%

Western Conference

Team	Conf Title	Cup Odds
COL	70.2%	53.2%
EDM	17.6%	8.2%
MIN	4.6%	2.0%
VGK	3.3%	1.2%
UTA	1.9%	0.6%
ANA	1.3%	0.4%
CGY	0.5%	0.2%
NSH	0.2%	0.0%
DAL	0.1%	0.0%
SJS	0.1%	0.0%
WPG	0.1%	0.0%
SEA	0.0%	0.0%
CHI	0.0%	0.0%
LAK	0.0%	0.0%
STL	0.0%	0.0%
VAN	0.0%	0.0%

Bracket (Most Likely Path)

Eastern Conference

Round 1

Metropolitan

CAR73.7%

MTL26.3%

NYI37.9%

NJD62.1%

Atlantic

DET34.2%

BUF65.8%

TBL17.9%

BOS82.1%

Division Finals

CAR91.4%

NJD8.6%

BUF43.5%

BOS56.5%

Conference Final

CAR73.7%

BOS26.3%

Western Conference

Round 1

Central

COL91.4%

VGK8.6%

MIN93.2%

DAL6.8%

Pacific

EDM65.1%

UTA34.9%

SJS34.2%

ANA65.8%

Division Finals

COL91.4%

MIN8.6%

EDM86.9%

ANA13.1%

Conference Final

COL73.7%

EDM26.3%

First team listed has home ice (2-2-1-1-1). Percentages are series win probabilities; later rounds show the most likely matchup based on Round 1.