NHL Playoff Odds 2026
Live NHL playoff odds and Stanley Cup probabilities powered by our season-long simulation. Use this page as your hub for playoff predictions and bracket paths.
Compare teams on our NHL team pages, or start from today's NHL predictions and game-by-game odds to see how nightly edges drive these playoff projections. For methodology and calibration details, see our model performance and metrics guide.
Division Standings
Top three in each division currently hold playoff spots. GB = games back from division leader, GR = games remaining, SOS = average opponent points percentage. Based on 2025-26 results.
Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | Record | PTS | GB | GR | SOS | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MTL | 101 | 57-30-14 | 128 | -- | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 2 | BUF | 95 | 57-27-11 | 125 | 1.5 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 3 | TBL | 89 | 53-28-8 | 114 | 7.0 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 4 | BOS | 88 | 47-31-10 | 104 | 12.0 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 5 | OTT | 86 | 44-30-12 | 100 | 14.0 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 6 | DET | 82 | 41-31-10 | 92 | 18.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 7 | FLA | 82 | 40-38-4 | 84 | 22.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 8 | TOR | 82 | 32-36-14 | 78 | 25.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | Record | PTS | GB | GR | SOS | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 101 | 69-24-8 | 146 | -- | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 2 | PHI | 92 | 47-31-14 | 108 | 19.0 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 3 | PIT | 88 | 43-28-17 | 103 | 21.5 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 4 | WSH | 82 | 43-30-9 | 95 | 25.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 5 | CBJ | 82 | 40-30-12 | 92 | 27.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 6 | NYI | 82 | 43-34-5 | 91 | 27.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 7 | NJD | 82 | 42-37-3 | 87 | 29.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 8 | NYR | 82 | 34-39-9 | 77 | 34.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
Central Division
| # | Team | GP | Record | PTS | GB | GR | SOS | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL | 95 | 63-21-11 | 137 | -- | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 2 | DAL | 88 | 52-23-13 | 117 | 10.0 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 3 | MIN | 93 | 51-28-14 | 116 | 10.5 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 4 | UTA | 88 | 45-35-8 | 98 | 19.5 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 5 | NSH | 82 | 38-34-10 | 86 | 25.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 6 | STL | 82 | 37-33-12 | 86 | 25.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 7 | WPG | 82 | 35-35-12 | 82 | 27.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 8 | CHI | 82 | 29-39-14 | 72 | 32.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | Record | PTS | GB | GR | SOS | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VGK | 104 | 53-33-18 | 124 | -- | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 2 | ANA | 94 | 49-38-7 | 105 | 9.5 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 3 | EDM | 88 | 43-33-12 | 98 | 13.0 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 4 | LAK | 86 | 35-30-21 | 91 | 16.5 | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| 5 | SJS | 82 | 39-35-8 | 86 | 19.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 6 | SEA | 82 | 34-37-11 | 79 | 22.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 7 | CGY | 82 | 34-39-9 | 77 | 23.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
| 8 | VAN | 82 | 25-49-8 | 58 | 33.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
Wild Card Race
Top two in each conference earn wild card berths. GB is relative to WC2.
Bubble watch (within 5 points of WC2): Eastern bubble: WSH (5 pts) • Western bubble: SJS (5 pts), NSH (5 pts), STL (5 pts)
Eastern Conference
| WC | Team | GP | Record | PTS | GB | GR | SOS | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WC1 | BOS | 88 | 47-31-10 | 104 | -- | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| WC2 | OTT | 86 | 44-30-12 | 100 | -- | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| WSH | 82 | 43-30-9 | 95 | 2.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| DET | 82 | 41-31-10 | 92 | 4.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| CBJ | 82 | 40-30-12 | 92 | 4.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| NYI | 82 | 43-34-5 | 91 | 4.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| NJD | 82 | 42-37-3 | 87 | 6.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| FLA | 82 | 40-38-4 | 84 | 8.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| TOR | 82 | 32-36-14 | 78 | 11.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| NYR | 82 | 34-39-9 | 77 | 11.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
Western Conference
| WC | Team | GP | Record | PTS | GB | GR | SOS | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WC1 | UTA | 88 | 45-35-8 | 98 | -- | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| WC2 | LAK | 86 | 35-30-21 | 91 | -- | 0 | -- | 100.0% |
| SJS | 82 | 39-35-8 | 86 | 2.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| NSH | 82 | 38-34-10 | 86 | 2.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| STL | 82 | 37-33-12 | 86 | 2.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| WPG | 82 | 35-35-12 | 82 | 4.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| SEA | 82 | 34-37-11 | 79 | 6.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| CGY | 82 | 34-39-9 | 77 | 7.0 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| CHI | 82 | 29-39-14 | 72 | 9.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% | |
| VAN | 82 | 25-49-8 | 58 | 16.5 | 0 | -- | 0.0% |
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Monte Carlo simulation results showing each team's path through the bracket: playoff qualification, Round 2, conference final, Stanley Cup Final, conference title, and Stanley Cup odds.
Eastern Conference
| Team | Make Playoffs | Round 2 | Conf Final | Cup Final | Conf Title | Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 100.0% | 76.0% | 48.4% | 33.0% | 33.0% | 20.1% |
| PIT | 100.0% | 67.7% | 33.5% | 22.3% | 22.3% | 12.3% |
| BOS | 100.0% | 67.3% | 43.5% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 8.5% |
| TBL | 100.0% | 74.6% | 36.9% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| PHI | 100.0% | 32.3% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| BUF | 100.0% | 32.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| MTL | 100.0% | 25.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| CAR | 100.0% | 24.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| CBJ | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| DET | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| FLA | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| NJD | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| NYI | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| NYR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TOR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| WSH | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Western Conference
| Team | Make Playoffs | Round 2 | Conf Final | Cup Final | Conf Title | Cup Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 100.0% | 68.6% | 45.5% | 30.2% | 30.2% | 16.8% |
| UTA | 100.0% | 76.1% | 42.9% | 19.8% | 19.8% | 9.4% |
| EDM | 100.0% | 65.7% | 36.3% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 8.8% |
| DAL | 100.0% | 65.8% | 30.9% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 8.8% |
| ANA | 100.0% | 34.3% | 15.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| MIN | 100.0% | 34.2% | 13.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| COL | 100.0% | 31.4% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| VGK | 100.0% | 23.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| CGY | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CHI | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| NSH | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SEA | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SJS | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| STL | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| VAN | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| WPG | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Bracket (Most Likely Path)
Eastern Conference
Western Conference
First team listed has home ice (2-2-1-1-1). Percentages are series win probabilities; later rounds show the most likely matchup based on Round 1.