Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT
Eastern
Season Record:
3-3-1
(7 pts, 50.0%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
50.0%
7 pts in 7 games
Overtime Record
2-1
OT/SO: 2 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.37
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.57
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.20
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+0.6
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
2
2W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
47.2%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.0%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.7%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
45.5/gm · p81
Slot Location style
37.4% · p100
Finishing variance
1.22 G/xG · p84
Shot Quality
0.081 xG/sh · p69
Defense
Shot Suppression
43.5/gm · p31
Slot Defense
24.7% allowed · p91
Goaltending variance
1.06 GA/xGA · p44
Quality Allowed
0.071 xG/sh · p75
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Kindel | 6 | 21 | 2.6 | 2 |
| Sidney Crosby | 7 | 28 | 2.4 | 2 |
| Rickard Rakell | 7 | 24 | 2.1 | 0 |
| Tommy Novak | 5 | 16 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 7 | 25 | 1.8 | 1 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | CHI | 71.9% | 4.08 | 2.03 | 3.82 | 3.24 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | DAL | 49.4% | 2.84 | 3.00 | 3.94 | 3.75 | W |
| 2026-10-09 | CBJ | 48.7% | 3.39 | 3.32 | 3.88 | 5.74 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | WSH | 57.1% | 3.34 | 2.61 | 3.72 | 3.85 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | WPG | 76.2% | 3.46 | 4.15 | 3.35 | 3.85 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | MTL | 71.9% | 3.37 | 3.45 | 3.16 | 2.90 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | PHI | 53.8% | 4.24 | 2.52 | 4.54 | 1.70 | W |
| 2026-04-29 | PHI | 56.1% | 3.01 | 2.82 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-27 | PHI | 50.4% | 3.06 | 3.43 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-25 | PHI | 48.2% | 2.88 | 2.94 | - | - | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | 7:00 PM MDT | COL | 42.9% | 2.82 | 3.60 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM PDT | VGK | 36.5% | 3.33 | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-19 | 7:00 PM MDT | UTA | 42.5% | 3.15 | 3.83 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM EDT | FLA | 62.5% | 3.38 | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | NSH | 72.6% | 4.06 | 2.28 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM EDT | UTA | 48.3% | 2.95 | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-31 | 7:00 PM EDT | MTL | 48.8% | 3.09 | 3.28 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:00 PM EST | VGK | 60.3% | 3.05 | 2.85 |