Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT
Eastern
Season Record:
43-28-17
(103 pts, 58.5%)
Last 5 games:
30% win rate
Points Percentage
58.5%
103 pts in 88 games
Overtime Record
7-17
OT/SO: 7 wins, 17 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.17
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.39
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.06
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+9.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
34
33W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
100.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
12.3%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
22.3%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
42.7/gm · p44
Slot Location style
31.8% · p97
Finishing variance
1.12 G/xG · p100
Shot Quality
0.077 xG/sh · p72
Defense
Shot Suppression
42.9/gm · p47
Slot Defense
29.5% allowed · p31
Goaltending variance
0.98 GA/xGA · p47
Quality Allowed
0.076 xG/sh · p34
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 78 | 329 | 31.5 | 31 |
| Rickard Rakell | 65 | 270 | 28.8 | 27 |
| Sidney Crosby | 69 | 270 | 25.4 | 32 |
| Ben Kindel | 75 | 238 | 21.8 | 19 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 58 | 214 | 20.9 | 22 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | PHI | 44.6% | 3.04 | 3.93 | 4.53 | 3.07 | L |
| 2026-04-27 | PHI | 56.5% | 3.22 | 3.17 | 3.96 | 2.08 | W |
| 2026-04-25 | PHI | 51.7% | 3.72 | 3.12 | 2.73 | 3.02 | W |
| 2026-04-22 | PHI | 53.6% | 3.49 | 4.11 | 2.76 | 3.78 | L |
| 2026-04-20 | PHI | 47.7% | 2.95 | 2.81 | 2.33 | 3.03 | L |
| 2026-04-18 | PHI | 54.4% | 3.22 | 3.51 | 1.41 | 3.21 | L |
| 2026-04-14 | STL | 59.3% | 3.01 | 2.82 | 2.52 | 4.93 | L |
| 2026-04-12 | WSH | 52.2% | 2.95 | 2.80 | 3.09 | 2.25 | L |
| 2026-04-11 | WSH | 60.0% | 3.03 | 3.09 | 2.00 | 3.88 | L |
| 2026-04-09 | NJD | 51.8% | 3.06 | 2.86 | 4.47 | 2.10 | W |
Upcoming Games
No upcoming games scheduled.