Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT
Eastern
Season Record:
43-28-17
(103 pts, 58.5%)
Last 5 games:
30% win rate
Points Percentage
58.5%
103 pts in 88 games
Overtime Record
7-17
OT/SO: 7 wins, 17 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.17
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.39
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.06
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+9.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
43
37W – 6L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
1
0W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
47.2%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.0%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.7%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
42.7/gm · p44
Slot Location style
31.8% · p97
Finishing variance
1.12 G/xG · p100
Shot Quality
0.077 xG/sh · p72
Defense
Shot Suppression
42.9/gm · p47
Slot Defense
29.5% allowed · p31
Goaltending variance
0.98 GA/xGA · p47
Quality Allowed
0.076 xG/sh · p34
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 78 | 329 | 31.5 | 31 |
| Rickard Rakell | 65 | 270 | 28.8 | 27 |
| Sidney Crosby | 69 | 270 | 25.4 | 32 |
| Ben Kindel | 75 | 238 | 21.8 | 19 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 58 | 214 | 20.9 | 22 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | PHI | 54.1% | 3.16 | 2.59 | 4.53 | 3.07 | L |
| 2026-04-27 | PHI | 47.5% | 3.12 | 3.39 | 3.96 | 2.08 | W |
| 2026-04-25 | PHI | 43.8% | 3.50 | 2.68 | 2.73 | 3.02 | W |
| 2026-04-22 | PHI | 44.3% | 3.29 | 3.61 | 2.76 | 3.78 | L |
| 2026-04-20 | PHI | 42.4% | 2.95 | 3.10 | 2.33 | 3.03 | L |
| 2026-04-18 | PHI | 53.2% | 3.33 | 3.24 | 1.41 | 3.21 | L |
| 2026-04-14 | STL | 52.1% | 3.12 | 3.47 | 2.52 | 4.93 | L |
| 2026-04-12 | WSH | 44.4% | 2.31 | 3.35 | 3.09 | 2.25 | L |
| 2026-04-11 | WSH | 59.3% | 3.80 | 3.09 | 2.00 | 3.88 | L |
| 2026-04-09 | NJD | 47.2% | 3.10 | 3.10 | 4.47 | 2.10 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 7:00 PM EDT | MTL | 47.1% | 1.79 | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-05 | 7:30 PM EDT | WPG | 46.5% | 2.25 | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | 7:30 PM EDT | WSH | 57.1% | 3.88 | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-09 | 7:00 PM EDT | CBJ | 57.3% | 3.26 | 2.24 |
| 2026-10-10 | 7:00 PM EDT | DAL | 43.2% | 1.95 | 3.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | 7:00 PM CDT | CHI | 66.4% | 4.53 | 2.51 |
| 2026-10-16 | 7:00 PM MDT | COL | 47.8% | 3.82 | 1.92 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM PDT | VGK | 49.0% | 3.60 | 3.01 |