NHL Power Rankings | Analytics-Based Ratings

Our NHL power rankings use model-derived strength ratings. Each team is rated by their predicted win probability against a league-average opponent on neutral ice—the same models that power our game predictions and playoff simulations.

Strength rating = average of P(win at home vs average) and P(win away vs average). Percentiles compare each category against the league.

Trend compares ranks to one week ago. Narratives are generated based on performance profile across offense, defense, goaltending, and recent form.

Top Movers (7 days)

Risers

VAN▲ 4
OTT▲ 1

Fallers

CAR▼ 1
ANA▼ 1
EDM▼ 1
VGK▼ 1
BOS▼ 1

Power Rankings (Model-Derived Strength)

#	Trend	Team	Strength	Narrative	Off%	Def%	Goal%	Form%	Last 10
1	▲ 1	OTT	54.0%	Working uphill every night in net	75	62	12	73	6-4
2	▼ 1	CAR	53.6%	Can beat you in multiple ways	97	84	75	97	8-2
3	—	PIT	53.4%	The definition of variance	91	97	22	84	7-3
4	—	COL	52.6%	The ultimate enigma this season	88	78	91	44	4-6
5	—	PHI	52.5%	Opponents scoring at will	62	14	3	22	3-7
6	—	MTL	52.4%	Solid offensive foundation	78	78	38	69	6-4
7	—	CBJ	52.4%	Unpredictable to a fault	84	88	84	100	9-1
8	—	UTA	52.3%	Winning tight games through discipline	66	94	44	81	7-3
9	—	TBL	52.1%	No weaknesses to exploit—the total package	94	100	94	94	8-2
10	—	MIN	52.0%	Finding ways to win despite limitations	69	66	100	91	8-2
11	—	BUF	51.7%	Dangerous when all cylinders are firing	72	91	53	73	6-4
12	—	FLA	51.2%	Need more production up front	38	19	41	38	4-6
13	▲ 4	VAN	51.2%	Due for positive regression eventually	41	3	56	3	2-8
14	▼ 1	ANA	51.1%	Wildly inconsistent—capable of anything	50	28	47	88	8-2
15	▼ 1	EDM	51.1%	Goaltending below league standard	100	58	31	56	5-5
16	▼ 1	VGK	50.5%	Searching for scoring touch	34	69	9	25	3-7
17	▼ 1	BOS	50.4%	Grinding out results the hard way	47	78	19	62	6-4
18	—	NSH	50.3%	Better days ahead, hopefully	53	34	6	19	3-7
19	—	WSH	50.0%	Would be .500 without elite goaltending	59	50	97	52	5-5
20	—	LAK	49.8%	Hard to find positives right now	31	34	59	38	4-6
21	—	DET	49.8%	Hard to win when you can't score	25	53	50	52	5-5
22	—	TOR	49.6%	Wildly inconsistent—capable of anything	44	47	88	31	4-6
23	—	SJS	49.6%	Middling results across the board	56	41	16	47	4-6
24	—	DAL	49.5%	A different team every night	81	44	72	78	7-3
25	—	SEA	49.1%	Hard to play against	28	72	69	66	6-4
26	—	CGY	49.1%	Defensive breakdowns costing them games	12	25	62	38	4-6
27	—	NJD	48.7%	Need better play between the pipes	16	14	28	28	4-6
28	—	NYI	48.5%	Goalie can only do so much with this group	9	58	81	59	6-4
29	—	WPG	48.2%	In a rut and can't get out	22	34	78	16	3-7
30	—	CHI	48.1%	Slumping badly despite talent	19	22	34	12	3-7
31	—	STL	47.3%	Tank season in full effect	3	9	25	8	2-8
32	—	NYR	46.0%	Counting down to the offseason	6	6	66	8	2-8

Percentiles show where each team ranks league-wide (100 = best). Off% = offensive quality, Def% = defensive quality, Goal% = goaltending, Form% = recent performance.