NHL Power Rankings | Analytics-Based Ratings

Our NHL power rankings use model-derived strength ratings. Each team is rated by their predicted win probability against a league-average opponent on neutral ice—the same models that power our game predictions and playoff simulations.

Strength rating = average of P(win at home vs average) and P(win away vs average). Percentiles compare each category against the league.

Trend compares ranks to one week ago. Narratives are generated based on performance profile across offense, defense, goaltending, and recent form.

Top Movers (7 days)

Risers

EDM▲ 1
WPG▲ 1

Fallers

VAN▼ 1
DAL▼ 1

Power Rankings (Model-Derived Strength)

#	Trend	Team	Strength	Narrative	Off%	Def%	Goal%	Form%	Last 10
1	—	OTT	53.8%	Skaters doing their job, goalies not so much	75	62	12	75	6-4
2	—	CAR	53.3%	Dangerous offensive team with solid defensive structure	94	84	75	94	8-2
3	—	PIT	53.3%	High ceiling, low floor, everything in between	91	97	22	81	7-3
4	—	TBL	52.0%	One night world-beaters, next night pushovers	97	100	94	98	9-1
5	—	COL	51.9%	The definition of a playoff-caliber team	88	80	91	53	5-5
6	—	MIN	51.8%	Chemistry trumping raw talent lately	66	66	100	91	8-2
7	—	CBJ	51.7%	Inconsistency is the only consistent thing	84	89	84	98	9-1
8	—	BUF	51.7%	Strong defensive structure compensating for average offense	69	94	53	78	7-3
9	—	PHI	51.6%	Defensive structure in shambles	59	16	3	22	3-7
10	—	MTL	51.6%	Offensive upside keeps them competitive	78	73	41	69	6-4
11	—	UTA	51.4%	Consistent performers game after game	72	89	28	72	6-4
12	▲ 1	EDM	51.2%	Need better play between the pipes	100	58	31	41	4-6
13	▼ 1	VAN	51.2%	In a rut and can't get out	34	3	56	6	2-8
14	—	FLA	51.0%	Defense giving up too many chances	41	19	47	36	4-6
15	—	ANA	50.9%	Defensive structure needs work	44	31	34	84	8-2
16	—	WSH	50.3%	Punching above their weight thanks to the netminder	62	47	97	59	6-4
17	—	BOS	50.1%	Grinding out results the hard way	47	73	19	62	6-4
18	—	VGK	50.1%	The crease is the Achilles heel	38	80	9	47	4-6
19	—	NSH	50.1%	Rock bottom may not be far off	50	34	6	19	3-7
20	—	DET	49.5%	Hard to win when you can't score	28	52	50	50	5-5
21	—	SJS	49.4%	Too easy to score against	56	38	16	44	4-6
22	—	SEA	49.3%	Hard to win when you can't score	25	69	69	66	6-4
23	—	LAK	49.3%	Hard to find positives right now	31	23	59	31	4-6
24	—	TOR	49.3%	Hot-and-cold with no middle ground	53	44	88	16	3-7
25	—	NJD	48.9%	Offensive struggles defining the season	22	12	44	28	4-6
26	—	CGY	48.8%	Defensive breakdowns costing them games	12	28	62	36	4-6
27	—	NYI	48.1%	Stellar netminding deserves better support	9	58	81	56	6-4
28	—	CHI	47.9%	Rock bottom may not be far off	16	23	38	12	3-7
29	▲ 1	WPG	47.3%	Maddening inconsistency defines this team	19	41	78	25	4-6
30	▼ 1	DAL	47.2%	Jekyll and Hyde vibes all season	81	52	72	88	8-2
31	—	STL	47.1%	Lottery odds looking increasingly important	3	9	25	6	2-8
32	—	NYR	45.7%	Playing for draft position at this point	6	6	66	6	2-8

Percentiles show where each team ranks league-wide (100 = best). Off% = offensive quality, Def% = defensive quality, Goal% = goaltending, Form% = recent performance.