Florida Panthers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Florida Panthers
FLA
Eastern
Season Record:
40-38-4
(84 pts, 51.2%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
51.2%
84 pts in 82 games
Overtime Record
8-4
OT/SO: 8 wins, 4 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.07
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.26
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.05
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-17.2
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
35
33W – 2L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
1
0W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
48.4%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.1%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.1%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
44.0/gm · p84
Slot Location style
27.9% · p38
Finishing variance
0.94 G/xG · p28
Shot Quality
0.073 xG/sh · p34
Defense
Shot Suppression
41.5/gm · p69
Slot Defense
29.2% allowed · p50
Goaltending variance
1.06 GA/xGA · p19
Quality Allowed
0.077 xG/sh · p25
Regression Watch
Florida Panthers is finishing 6% below expected (0.94). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | 62 | 282 | 31.1 | 31 |
| Sam Bennett | 73 | 313 | 30.1 | 26 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 77 | 273 | 22.8 | 25 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 71 | 253 | 20.4 | 12 |
| Brad Marchand | 50 | 218 | 20.0 | 29 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | DET | 54.7% | 3.34 | 2.88 | 3.97 | 2.54 | W |
| 2026-04-13 | NYR | 55.3% | 3.33 | 3.09 | 2.60 | 3.87 | W |
| 2026-04-11 | TOR | 47.0% | 3.19 | 2.99 | 4.31 | 2.80 | W |
| 2026-04-09 | OTT | 36.7% | 2.78 | 3.78 | 1.90 | 4.31 | L |
| 2026-04-07 | MTL | 51.7% | 3.05 | 3.10 | 5.20 | 4.97 | L |
| 2026-04-05 | PIT | 35.9% | 2.95 | 3.85 | 3.61 | 3.41 | L |
| 2026-04-04 | PIT | 39.0% | 2.82 | 3.82 | 1.78 | 3.73 | L |
| 2026-04-02 | BOS | 53.4% | 3.06 | 2.94 | 4.27 | 3.08 | W |
| 2026-03-31 | OTT | 34.4% | 3.21 | 3.66 | 4.88 | 2.91 | W |
| 2026-03-29 | NYR | 47.1% | 2.95 | 2.87 | 3.04 | 2.92 | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 7:00 PM PDT | SJS | 58.9% | 3.11 | 1.86 |
| 2026-10-04 | 5:00 PM PDT | ANA | 57.4% | 3.22 | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-06 | 7:30 PM PDT | LAK | 50.1% | 2.60 | 2.99 |
| 2026-10-10 | 6:00 PM EDT | MIN | 44.9% | 2.63 | 3.05 |
| 2026-10-12 | 1:00 PM EDT | BUF | 52.8% | 3.12 | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-13 | 6:15 PM EDT | CBJ | 57.4% | 2.76 | 2.38 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM EDT | VAN | 55.4% | 2.78 | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-17 | 6:00 PM EDT | SEA | 50.4% | 2.46 | 3.97 |