Florida Panthers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Florida Panthers
FLA
Eastern
Season Record:
2-2-2
(6 pts, 50.0%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
50.0%
6 pts in 6 games
Overtime Record
1-2
OT/SO: 1 wins, 2 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.43
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.11
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.15
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-7.5
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
1
1W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
48.4%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.1%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.1%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
44.4/gm · p75
Slot Location style
30.2% · p66
Finishing variance
0.57 G/xG · p6
Shot Quality
0.071 xG/sh · p28
Defense
Shot Suppression
37.4/gm · p75
Slot Defense
25.7% allowed · p84
Goaltending variance
0.81 GA/xGA · p75
Quality Allowed
0.079 xG/sh · p34
Regression Watch
Florida Panthers is finishing 39% below expected (0.61). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | 6 | 26 | 3.4 | 2 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 6 | 24 | 2.1 | 0 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 6 | 23 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Anton Lundell | 6 | 25 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 5 | 13 | 1.7 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | BUF | 47.2% | 2.88 | 3.11 | 3.67 | 3.80 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | MIN | 79.4% | 4.72 | 2.52 | 3.27 | 5.15 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | LAK | 32.8% | 2.81 | 3.29 | 2.91 | 1.87 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | ANA | 49.0% | 2.91 | 3.05 | 3.78 | 2.40 | L |
| 2026-10-01 | SJS | 64.9% | 4.22 | 4.91 | 3.88 | 3.30 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | CAR | 45.0% | 3.82 | 2.86 | 2.02 | 2.12 | W |
| 2026-04-15 | DET | 54.8% | 3.66 | 2.87 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-13 | NYR | 54.6% | 3.31 | 3.18 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-11 | TOR | 43.7% | 3.10 | 2.83 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-09 | OTT | 38.5% | 2.91 | 3.82 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | 6:15 PM EDT | CBJ | 49.3% | 2.85 | 3.09 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM EDT | VAN | 79.8% | 4.38 | 1.97 |
| 2026-10-17 | 6:00 PM EDT | SEA | 76.3% | 3.72 | 2.27 |
| 2026-10-21 | 7:30 PM EDT | OTT | 48.0% | 2.96 | 2.87 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM EDT | PIT | 36.0% | 3.17 | 3.53 |
| 2026-10-25 | 2:00 PM CDT | CHI | 68.3% | 3.37 | 2.11 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM CDT | WPG | 63.7% | 3.16 | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-30 | 7:00 PM EDT | WPG | 84.0% | 4.11 | 2.39 |