Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL
Eastern
Season Record:
53-28-8
(114 pts, 64.0%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
64.0%
114 pts in 89 games
Overtime Record
12-8
OT/SO: 12 wins, 8 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.08
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.04
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.52
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-9.3
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
41
38W – 3L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
3
2W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
100.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.0%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
0.0%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 87 | 352 | 41.3 | 40 |
| Brandon Hagel | 77 | 351 | 40.2 | 42 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 83 | 434 | 36.1 | 47 |
| Brayden Point | 65 | 213 | 27.1 | 21 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 69 | 192 | 22.0 | 23 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | MTL | 63.4% | 3.72 | 2.27 | 2.98 | 0.80 | L |
| 2026-05-01 | MTL | 44.9% | 2.79 | 3.29 | 4.82 | 4.63 | W |
| 2026-04-29 | MTL | 63.7% | 3.57 | 1.85 | 2.83 | 2.46 | L |
| 2026-04-26 | MTL | 44.0% | 1.93 | 3.29 | 3.99 | 3.18 | W |
| 2026-04-24 | MTL | 48.1% | 2.87 | 3.05 | 2.69 | 3.19 | L |
| 2026-04-21 | MTL | 53.7% | 3.10 | 2.75 | 2.92 | 2.78 | W |
| 2026-04-19 | MTL | 61.5% | 3.20 | 2.87 | 2.05 | 3.08 | L |
| 2026-04-15 | NYR | 58.8% | 3.47 | 2.51 | 4.50 | 3.10 | L |
| 2026-04-13 | DET | 55.5% | 3.33 | 3.07 | 2.89 | 3.08 | W |
| 2026-04-11 | BOS | 55.0% | 2.76 | 2.96 | 2.76 | 2.29 | W |
Upcoming Games
No upcoming games scheduled.