Ottawa Senators Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Ottawa Senators
OTT
Eastern
Season Record:
5-2-0
(10 pts, 71.4%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
71.4%
10 pts in 7 games
Overtime Record
1-0
OT/SO: 1 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.31
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.25
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.14
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+0.2
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
2
2W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
50.2%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.2%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.4%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
38.0/gm · p31
Slot Location style
28.9% · p56
Finishing variance
0.97 G/xG · p53
Shot Quality
0.081 xG/sh · p72
Defense
Shot Suppression
41.8/gm · p41
Slot Defense
30.5% allowed · p31
Goaltending variance
0.68 GA/xGA · p88
Quality Allowed
0.079 xG/sh · p44
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Eklund | 3 | 14 | 2.8 | 1 |
| Shane Pinto | 7 | 24 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Drake Batherson | 7 | 22 | 2.0 | 3 |
| Michael Amadio | 7 | 15 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Tim Stützle | 6 | 18 | 1.8 | 5 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | STL | 47.1% | 2.59 | 3.26 | 1.80 | 3.59 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | NJD | 27.9% | 2.56 | 3.56 | 3.90 | 2.95 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | NSH | 59.2% | 3.70 | 2.80 | 3.72 | 3.06 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | PHI | 71.6% | 4.50 | 4.17 | 2.46 | 3.71 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | DET | 28.5% | 5.20 | 3.72 | 2.73 | 3.78 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | BOS | 43.1% | 3.41 | 3.08 | 2.46 | 2.33 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | TOR | 42.9% | 3.01 | 3.25 | 4.73 | 3.34 | W |
| 2026-04-25 | CAR | 41.6% | 2.63 | 3.00 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-23 | CAR | 37.4% | 2.56 | 3.26 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-20 | CAR | 42.2% | 2.99 | 3.36 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM EDT | NYI | 54.7% | 3.46 | 3.33 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM EDT | PHI | 51.7% | 2.66 | 3.17 |
| 2026-10-21 | 7:30 PM EDT | FLA | 41.7% | 2.74 | 3.66 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM EDT | SJS | 58.0% | 3.53 | 2.96 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | NYR | 49.3% | 3.36 | 3.10 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM PDT | VGK | 28.3% | 2.70 | 3.63 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM PDT | LAK | 37.3% | 2.44 | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-31 | 1:00 PM PDT | SJS | 54.4% | 2.99 | 2.94 |