Ottawa Senators Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Ottawa Senators
OTT
Eastern
Season Record:
44-30-12
(100 pts, 58.1%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
58.1%
100 pts in 86 games
Overtime Record
6-12
OT/SO: 6 wins, 12 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.23
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.87
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.59
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-14.9
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
34
32W – 2L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
2
2W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
100.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
20.1%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
33.0%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
43.4/gm · p72
Slot Location style
28.7% · p56
Finishing variance
0.96 G/xG · p53
Shot Quality
0.079 xG/sh · p84
Defense
Shot Suppression
36.5/gm · p97
Slot Defense
26.7% allowed · p91
Goaltending variance
1.11 GA/xGA · p3
Quality Allowed
0.073 xG/sh · p78
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Stützle | 80 | 298 | 33.1 | 36 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 63 | 318 | 31.3 | 20 |
| Dylan Cozens | 83 | 308 | 30.0 | 30 |
| Drake Batherson | 80 | 294 | 29.3 | 38 |
| Shane Pinto | 72 | 262 | 27.4 | 24 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | CAR | 40.4% | 2.97 | 3.30 | 3.61 | 5.80 | L |
| 2026-04-23 | CAR | 37.5% | 2.92 | 3.26 | 2.15 | 4.69 | L |
| 2026-04-20 | CAR | 39.4% | 2.79 | 3.30 | 4.73 | 5.45 | L |
| 2026-04-18 | CAR | 27.9% | 2.81 | 3.32 | 2.50 | 4.15 | L |
| 2026-04-15 | TOR | 83.5% | 3.90 | 1.43 | 5.13 | 1.59 | W |
| 2026-04-12 | NJD | 48.6% | 3.34 | 3.13 | 3.41 | 3.93 | L |
| 2026-04-11 | NYI | 57.9% | 3.30 | 3.04 | 2.17 | 2.96 | W |
| 2026-04-09 | FLA | 66.8% | 3.87 | 2.78 | 4.31 | 1.90 | W |
| 2026-04-07 | TBL | 65.0% | 3.44 | 3.04 | 5.22 | 2.25 | W |
| 2026-04-05 | CAR | 42.3% | 2.99 | 3.20 | 2.69 | 1.37 | W |
Upcoming Games
No upcoming games scheduled.