Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI
Western
Season Record:
29-39-14
(72 pts, 43.9%)
Last 5 games:
20% win rate
Points Percentage
43.9%
72 pts in 82 games
Overtime Record
7-14
OT/SO: 7 wins, 14 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.72
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.47
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.62
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-14.3
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
29
24W – 5L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
1
0W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
49.1%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.4%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.4%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
37.8/gm · p9
Slot Location style
27.5% · p16
Finishing variance
0.95 G/xG · p44
Shot Quality
0.071 xG/sh · p19
Defense
Shot Suppression
45.2/gm · p12
Slot Defense
30.8% allowed · p12
Goaltending variance
1.01 GA/xGA · p28
Quality Allowed
0.074 xG/sh · p72
Regression Watch
Chicago Blackhawks is finishing 6% below expected (0.94). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 68 | 339 | 30.6 | 32 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 77 | 250 | 28.2 | 32 |
| Frank Nazar | 61 | 222 | 21.8 | 16 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 70 | 173 | 18.6 | 18 |
| Ryan Donato | 70 | 218 | 17.7 | 16 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | SJS | 38.2% | 3.10 | 3.13 | 3.08 | 1.74 | W |
| 2026-04-13 | BUF | 35.3% | 2.75 | 3.96 | 1.87 | 3.17 | L |
| 2026-04-11 | STL | 35.1% | 3.28 | 3.90 | 3.28 | 3.05 | L |
| 2026-04-09 | CAR | 31.2% | 2.25 | 5.78 | 2.08 | 2.73 | L |
| 2026-04-06 | SJS | 32.6% | 2.84 | 3.67 | 3.51 | 2.34 | L |
| 2026-04-04 | SEA | 35.5% | 2.91 | 3.21 | 3.71 | 2.45 | W |
| 2026-04-02 | EDM | 23.2% | 2.33 | 3.28 | 3.50 | 4.73 | L |
| 2026-03-31 | WPG | 43.3% | 2.76 | 3.12 | 1.98 | 2.47 | L |
| 2026-03-29 | NJD | 33.8% | 2.39 | 3.86 | 3.80 | 5.81 | L |
| 2026-03-27 | NYR | 28.3% | 2.64 | 3.83 | 2.56 | 3.78 | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 7:00 PM MDT | UTA | 38.8% | 2.24 | 3.65 |
| 2026-10-03 | 7:00 PM EDT | BUF | 41.4% | 3.08 | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-06 | 7:00 PM CDT | STL | 34.3% | 2.62 | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7:30 PM EDT | NYI | 41.5% | 2.79 | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | 6:00 PM CDT | CAR | 30.5% | 1.75 | 5.96 |
| 2026-10-13 | 7:00 PM CDT | PIT | 33.6% | 2.51 | 4.53 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM CDT | WPG | 38.6% | 2.55 | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-17 | 6:00 PM CDT | DAL | 34.2% | 2.53 | 4.02 |