Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR
Eastern
Season Record:
69-24-8
(146 pts, 72.3%)
Last 5 games:
80% win rate
Points Percentage
72.3%
146 pts in 101 games
Overtime Record
20-8
OT/SO: 20 wins, 8 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.43
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.99
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.91
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-30.6
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
50
46W – 4L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
9
7W – 2L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
48.3%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.1%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.6%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
50.2/gm · p100
Slot Location style
27.8% · p31
Finishing variance
0.96 G/xG · p50
Shot Quality
0.075 xG/sh · p56
Defense
Shot Suppression
35.1/gm · p100
Slot Defense
32.2% allowed · p3
Goaltending variance
1.00 GA/xGA · p44
Quality Allowed
0.081 xG/sh · p12
Regression Watch
Carolina Hurricanes is finishing 8% below expected (0.92). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Jarvis | 89 | 401 | 44.1 | 38 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 98 | 416 | 39.1 | 40 |
| Jackson Blake | 93 | 357 | 37.8 | 32 |
| Sebastian Aho | 94 | 381 | 35.0 | 32 |
| Logan Stankoven | 100 | 331 | 32.6 | 32 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | VGK | 50.1% | 3.28 | 3.29 | 2.67 | 2.55 | W |
| 2026-06-11 | VGK | 63.4% | 3.40 | 2.51 | 3.54 | 4.07 | W |
| 2026-06-09 | VGK | 51.8% | 3.34 | 2.98 | 3.37 | 2.51 | W |
| 2026-06-06 | VGK | 52.5% | 3.16 | 2.90 | 3.47 | 3.27 | L |
| 2026-06-04 | VGK | 65.4% | 3.58 | 2.64 | 2.94 | 3.26 | W |
| 2026-06-02 | VGK | 59.9% | 3.26 | 3.68 | 2.73 | 4.72 | L |
| 2026-05-29 | MTL | 79.1% | 4.18 | 1.96 | 5.18 | 2.77 | W |
| 2026-05-27 | MTL | 72.3% | 3.06 | 1.46 | 6.49 | 1.04 | W |
| 2026-05-25 | MTL | 66.7% | 3.25 | 2.63 | 4.49 | 1.80 | W |
| 2026-05-23 | MTL | 79.6% | 3.79 | 2.07 | 2.84 | 1.62 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 7:00 PM EDT | WSH | 52.8% | 2.22 | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-03 | 7:00 PM EDT | PHI | 63.9% | 4.65 | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-06 | 7:00 PM EDT | MTL | 67.5% | 4.68 | 1.81 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7:00 PM EDT | VAN | 51.5% | 3.44 | 3.38 |
| 2026-10-10 | 6:00 PM CDT | CHI | 69.5% | 5.96 | 1.75 |
| 2026-10-11 | 7:00 PM EDT | PHI | 63.9% | 4.61 | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-13 | 6:45 PM EDT | WSH | 52.8% | 2.21 | 3.75 |
| 2026-10-17 | 2:30 PM CDT | WPG | 67.4% | 4.64 | 1.50 |