Boston Bruins Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Boston Bruins
BOS
Eastern
Season Record:
4-2-0
(8 pts, 66.7%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
66.7%
8 pts in 6 games
Overtime Record
1-0
OT/SO: 1 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.94
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.14
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.28
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+2.9
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
3
3W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
48.6%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.8%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.9%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
40.0/gm · p41
Slot Location style
27.5% · p25
Finishing variance
1.17 G/xG · p78
Shot Quality
0.071 xG/sh · p25
Defense
Shot Suppression
41.0/gm · p50
Slot Defense
25.6% allowed · p88
Goaltending variance
0.69 GA/xGA · p84
Quality Allowed
0.077 xG/sh · p53
Regression Watch
Boston Bruins is finishing 17% above expected (1.17). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 6 | 30 | 1.8 | 2 |
| James Hagens | 5 | 16 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Morgan Geekie | 6 | 17 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Pavel Zacha | 6 | 18 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Fraser Minten | 6 | 19 | 1.5 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | PHI | 76.0% | 3.41 | 2.02 | 3.31 | 1.26 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | UTA | 51.2% | 2.96 | 3.24 | 2.26 | 4.76 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | OTT | 56.9% | 3.08 | 3.41 | 2.33 | 2.46 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | MIN | 33.0% | 2.93 | 3.78 | 2.61 | 4.08 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | WPG | 47.9% | 4.26 | 3.03 | 3.15 | 4.14 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | NYR | 44.4% | 1.72 | 3.49 | 3.47 | 2.13 | W |
| 2026-05-01 | BUF | 44.2% | 2.75 | 3.40 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-28 | BUF | 35.8% | 2.93 | 3.88 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-26 | BUF | 39.9% | 2.65 | 3.50 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-23 | BUF | 45.2% | 2.75 | 3.10 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | 8:00 PM PDT | SJS | 64.8% | 3.37 | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-16 | 7:00 PM PDT | ANA | 63.5% | 3.29 | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-17 | 6:00 PM PDT | LAK | 38.2% | 2.56 | 3.50 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM CDT | DAL | 51.1% | 3.32 | 3.53 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM EDT | NSH | 66.7% | 3.47 | 3.33 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | SJS | 70.7% | 3.39 | 2.25 |
| 2026-10-27 | 8:00 PM EDT | CAR | 41.6% | 2.60 | 3.63 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM CDT | STL | 57.4% | 4.10 | 3.40 |