Boston Bruins Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Boston Bruins
BOS
Eastern
Season Record:
47-31-10
(104 pts, 59.1%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
Points Percentage
59.1%
104 pts in 88 games
Overtime Record
13-10
OT/SO: 13 wins, 10 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.89
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.49
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.41
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+13.1
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
37
32W – 5L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
2
2W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
48.6%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.8%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.9%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
41.6/gm · p41
Slot Location style
26.8% · p6
Finishing variance
1.10 G/xG · p97
Shot Quality
0.071 xG/sh · p12
Defense
Shot Suppression
44.9/gm · p16
Slot Defense
29.5% allowed · p34
Goaltending variance
0.89 GA/xGA · p91
Quality Allowed
0.075 xG/sh · p62
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 82 | 425 | 32.6 | 32 |
| Morgan Geekie | 85 | 296 | 28.1 | 41 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 70 | 284 | 25.3 | 28 |
| Pavel Zacha | 77 | 226 | 24.0 | 31 |
| Elias Lindholm | 71 | 208 | 20.0 | 18 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | BUF | 42.1% | 2.77 | 3.44 | 1.91 | 4.32 | L |
| 2026-04-28 | BUF | 35.9% | 2.78 | 4.05 | 3.20 | 3.06 | W |
| 2026-04-26 | BUF | 38.1% | 2.60 | 3.58 | 2.25 | 4.01 | L |
| 2026-04-23 | BUF | 45.1% | 2.78 | 3.17 | 2.80 | 3.27 | L |
| 2026-04-21 | BUF | 40.4% | 2.82 | 3.05 | 3.93 | 4.12 | W |
| 2026-04-19 | BUF | 40.7% | 2.84 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 4.31 | L |
| 2026-04-14 | NJD | 43.3% | 3.24 | 3.30 | 2.71 | 1.99 | W |
| 2026-04-12 | CBJ | 38.0% | 3.08 | 3.50 | 2.18 | 3.76 | W |
| 2026-04-11 | TBL | 47.1% | 2.72 | 3.15 | 2.29 | 2.76 | L |
| 2026-04-07 | CAR | 33.2% | 3.26 | 3.52 | 2.18 | 4.96 | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 7:00 PM CDT | WPG | 54.5% | 3.03 | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | 7:00 PM CDT | MIN | 55.1% | 2.72 | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-05 | 7:30 PM EDT | OTT | 38.2% | 2.08 | 4.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7:00 PM EDT | UTA | 37.5% | 2.64 | 3.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | 1:00 PM EDT | PHI | 41.0% | 2.16 | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-13 | 8:00 PM PDT | SJS | 57.9% | 3.12 | 1.50 |
| 2026-10-16 | 7:00 PM PDT | ANA | 54.5% | 3.13 | 3.10 |
| 2026-10-17 | 6:00 PM PDT | LAK | 46.8% | 2.62 | 3.00 |