Dallas Stars Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Dallas Stars
DAL
Western
Season Record:
2-3-1
(5 pts, 41.7%)
Last 5 games:
30% win rate
Points Percentage
41.7%
5 pts in 6 games
Overtime Record
0-1
OT/SO: 0 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.11
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.96
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.17
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-3.7
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
2
2W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
51.8%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.1%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.6%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
40.8/gm · p45
Slot Location style
24.5% · p12
Finishing variance
0.84 G/xG · p28
Shot Quality
0.073 xG/sh · p38
Defense
Shot Suppression
33.2/gm · p97
Slot Defense
38.3% allowed · p3
Goaltending variance
0.57 GA/xGA · p100
Quality Allowed
0.079 xG/sh · p38
Regression Watch
Dallas Stars is finishing 20% below expected (0.80). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 6 | 25 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Roope Hintz | 6 | 22 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Tyler Seguin | 6 | 28 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 5 | 16 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Sam Steel | 6 | 16 | 1.4 | 1 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | COL | 42.2% | 2.77 | 3.31 | 3.12 | 3.26 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | PIT | 50.6% | 3.00 | 2.84 | 3.75 | 3.94 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | BUF | 46.1% | 3.06 | 2.83 | 2.20 | 2.79 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | SJS | 74.8% | 4.17 | 3.35 | 4.37 | 1.66 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | NSH | 42.1% | 3.36 | 3.56 | 2.30 | 2.36 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | STL | 48.4% | 2.42 | 3.73 | 2.96 | 3.73 | L |
| 2026-04-30 | MIN | 47.5% | 2.91 | 3.08 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-28 | MIN | 53.2% | 3.24 | 3.01 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-25 | MIN | 48.0% | 3.12 | 3.18 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-22 | MIN | 47.8% | 3.02 | 3.15 | - | - | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 6:30 PM MDT | COL | 38.5% | 2.94 | 3.42 |
| 2026-10-17 | 6:00 PM CDT | CHI | 58.8% | 3.15 | 2.89 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM CDT | BOS | 63.9% | 3.23 | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM CDT | WPG | 74.4% | 3.60 | 3.07 |
| 2026-10-25 | 5:00 PM CDT | NYI | 64.5% | 3.38 | 2.58 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM CDT | NJD | 39.9% | 2.82 | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM CDT | MTL | 55.1% | 3.59 | 2.93 |
| 2026-10-31 | 7:00 PM CDT | CBJ | 52.3% | 3.17 | 3.10 |