Washington Capitals Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Washington Capitals
WSH
Eastern
Season Record:
43-30-9
(95 pts, 57.9%)
Last 5 games:
80% win rate
Points Percentage
57.9%
95 pts in 82 games
Overtime Record
6-9
OT/SO: 6 wins, 9 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.93
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.45
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.03
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-17.7
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
37
36W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
2
1W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
0.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.0%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
0.0%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
43.4/gm · p62
Slot Location style
29.8% · p78
Finishing variance
0.95 G/xG · p34
Shot Quality
0.078 xG/sh · p81
Defense
Shot Suppression
42.7/gm · p53
Slot Defense
29.3% allowed · p44
Goaltending variance
0.87 GA/xGA · p94
Quality Allowed
0.078 xG/sh · p19
Regression Watch
Washington Capitals is finishing 6% below expected (0.94). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 82 | 389 | 32.6 | 32 |
| Tom Wilson | 70 | 235 | 27.4 | 30 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 74 | 265 | 23.9 | 25 |
| Dylan Strome | 72 | 211 | 22.3 | 23 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 74 | 233 | 22.0 | 16 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | CBJ | 36.1% | 2.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 | 2.56 | W |
| 2026-04-12 | PIT | 47.8% | 2.80 | 2.95 | 2.25 | 3.09 | W |
| 2026-04-11 | PIT | 40.0% | 3.09 | 3.03 | 3.88 | 2.00 | W |
| 2026-04-08 | TOR | 51.6% | 3.07 | 3.17 | 3.38 | 2.19 | W |
| 2026-04-05 | NYR | 49.8% | 2.84 | 2.98 | 1.91 | 4.40 | L |
| 2026-04-04 | BUF | 51.7% | 3.18 | 3.29 | 2.72 | 3.33 | W |
| 2026-04-02 | NJD | 37.4% | 3.03 | 3.56 | 3.26 | 3.23 | L |
| 2026-03-31 | PHI | 50.8% | 3.37 | 2.91 | 2.71 | 3.80 | W |
| 2026-03-28 | VGK | 30.4% | 2.19 | 3.53 | 3.02 | 4.34 | W |
| 2026-03-26 | UTA | 42.7% | 2.85 | 3.33 | 3.09 | 5.83 | W |
Upcoming Games
No upcoming games scheduled.