Calgary Flames Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Calgary Flames
CGY
Western
Season Record:
34-39-9
(77 pts, 47.0%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
Points Percentage
47.0%
77 pts in 82 games
Overtime Record
7-9
OT/SO: 7 wins, 9 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.77
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.42
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.48
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-26.1
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
34
28W – 6L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
2
1W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
55.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.8%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
7.2%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
41.6/gm · p38
Slot Location style
27.1% · p9
Finishing variance
0.90 G/xG · p12
Shot Quality
0.069 xG/sh · p3
Defense
Shot Suppression
44.7/gm · p19
Slot Defense
30.5% allowed · p16
Goaltending variance
0.95 GA/xGA · p66
Quality Allowed
0.075 xG/sh · p50
Regression Watch
Calgary Flames is finishing 11% below expected (0.89). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Coronato | 73 | 289 | 23.7 | 18 |
| Blake Coleman | 66 | 243 | 21.9 | 20 |
| Morgan Frost | 71 | 213 | 21.7 | 25 |
| Nazem Kadri | 61 | 260 | 21.2 | 15 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 72 | 222 | 18.0 | 16 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | LAK | 51.1% | 3.02 | 3.07 | 1.56 | 3.57 | W |
| 2026-04-14 | COL | 34.6% | 2.40 | 3.46 | 3.00 | 4.54 | L |
| 2026-04-12 | UTA | 49.4% | 3.03 | 2.83 | 2.78 | 2.39 | W |
| 2026-04-11 | SEA | 46.4% | 3.00 | 3.46 | 1.74 | 3.08 | L |
| 2026-04-09 | COL | 21.4% | 1.64 | 3.82 | 2.41 | 5.87 | L |
| 2026-04-07 | DAL | 36.0% | 2.89 | 4.02 | 2.14 | 3.67 | L |
| 2026-04-04 | ANA | 51.0% | 3.06 | 3.35 | 4.48 | 4.14 | W |
| 2026-04-02 | VGK | 25.8% | 2.76 | 4.20 | 2.05 | 4.18 | L |
| 2026-03-30 | COL | 22.2% | 2.42 | 4.50 | 3.33 | 6.02 | L |
| 2026-03-28 | VAN | 59.4% | 3.49 | 2.83 | 2.23 | 2.98 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 7:00 PM MDT | SEA | 48.9% | 1.58 | 4.40 |
| 2026-10-03 | 7:00 PM PDT | VAN | 62.5% | 3.97 | 2.56 |
| 2026-10-04 | 5:00 PM PDT | SEA | 58.8% | 4.47 | 1.27 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7:00 PM MDT | COL | 32.3% | 1.11 | 4.91 |
| 2026-10-10 | 8:00 PM MDT | ANA | 45.6% | 2.10 | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-13 | 6:45 PM PDT | ANA | 57.7% | 3.81 | 2.98 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM PDT | VGK | 49.9% | 3.37 | 3.09 |
| 2026-10-18 | 6:00 PM MDT | CAR | 34.1% | 2.19 | 4.63 |