Edmonton Oilers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Edmonton Oilers
EDM
Western
Season Record:
43-33-12
(98 pts, 55.7%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
Points Percentage
55.7%
98 pts in 88 games
Overtime Record
9-12
OT/SO: 9 wins, 12 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.30
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.29
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.21
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-0.8
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
41
36W – 5L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
2
1W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
48.2%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.2%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.7%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
44.0/gm · p81
Slot Location style
29.6% · p72
Finishing variance
0.99 G/xG · p62
Shot Quality
0.080 xG/sh · p88
Defense
Shot Suppression
41.6/gm · p66
Slot Defense
30.4% allowed · p19
Goaltending variance
1.02 GA/xGA · p25
Quality Allowed
0.077 xG/sh · p31
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 87 | 456 | 51.7 | 50 |
| Zach Hyman | 64 | 261 | 36.1 | 33 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 69 | 324 | 28.5 | 40 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 75 | 217 | 21.2 | 23 |
| Matt Savoie | 77 | 216 | 19.8 | 18 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | ANA | 44.3% | 3.11 | 3.33 | 2.94 | 4.62 | L |
| 2026-04-28 | ANA | 60.6% | 3.49 | 2.98 | 2.13 | 2.20 | W |
| 2026-04-26 | ANA | 46.2% | 3.14 | 3.75 | 2.22 | 2.97 | L |
| 2026-04-24 | ANA | 47.6% | 3.16 | 3.87 | 2.90 | 3.84 | L |
| 2026-04-22 | ANA | 54.0% | 3.36 | 3.29 | 3.09 | 3.24 | L |
| 2026-04-20 | ANA | 54.3% | 3.33 | 3.05 | 3.59 | 2.72 | W |
| 2026-04-16 | VAN | 72.0% | 4.20 | 2.06 | 4.13 | 1.24 | W |
| 2026-04-13 | COL | 40.3% | 2.80 | 3.44 | 3.51 | 5.85 | L |
| 2026-04-11 | LAK | 53.7% | 3.22 | 2.93 | 2.39 | 2.31 | L |
| 2026-04-08 | SJS | 43.5% | 3.17 | 2.92 | 2.66 | 1.85 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 7:00 PM PDT | VAN | 64.3% | 3.97 | 1.86 |
| 2026-10-03 | 5:00 PM MDT | SEA | 52.6% | 3.22 | 3.51 |
| 2026-10-07 | 7:00 PM PDT | ANA | 57.5% | 3.39 | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | 1:00 PM PDT | SJS | 62.5% | 3.72 | 1.83 |
| 2026-10-13 | 7:30 PM PDT | LAK | 58.8% | 3.09 | 2.37 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM MDT | UTA | 46.8% | 3.12 | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-17 | 8:00 PM MDT | UTA | 53.2% | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM MDT | MIN | 52.7% | 3.02 | 3.07 |