Edmonton Oilers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Edmonton Oilers
EDM
Western
Season Record:
5-0-1
(11 pts, 91.7%)
Last 5 games:
60% win rate
Points Percentage
91.7%
11 pts in 6 games
Overtime Record
0-1
OT/SO: 0 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.17
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.51
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.87
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+8.7
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
5
5W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
48.2%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.2%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.7%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
41.0/gm · p50
Slot Location style
27.3% · p22
Finishing variance
1.36 G/xG · p88
Shot Quality
0.090 xG/sh · p97
Defense
Shot Suppression
35.2/gm · p92
Slot Defense
29.5% allowed · p47
Goaltending variance
1.43 GA/xGA · p9
Quality Allowed
0.067 xG/sh · p88
Regression Watch
Edmonton Oilers is finishing 43% above expected (1.43). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasily Podkolzin | 6 | 27 | 3.8 | 7 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 6 | 35 | 3.5 | 4 |
| Connor McDavid | 5 | 24 | 2.9 | 4 |
| Evan Bouchard | 6 | 27 | 1.8 | 6 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 5 | 15 | 1.5 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | LAK | 52.5% | 3.62 | 2.55 | 1.94 | 3.20 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | SJS | 68.5% | 2.07 | 2.15 | 3.98 | 1.65 | W |
| 2026-10-07 | ANA | 75.0% | 1.70 | 1.71 | 2.73 | 3.31 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | SEA | 47.2% | 2.46 | 4.27 | 3.45 | 1.67 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | VAN | 77.0% | 4.01 | 1.48 | 4.30 | 3.19 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | VAN | 56.2% | 3.82 | 2.96 | 3.91 | 2.04 | L |
| 2026-04-30 | ANA | 45.7% | 3.22 | 3.32 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-28 | ANA | 56.1% | 4.40 | 3.00 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-26 | ANA | 48.7% | 3.30 | 3.90 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-24 | ANA | 50.8% | 3.14 | 3.63 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM MDT | UTA | 43.4% | 2.56 | 3.30 |
| 2026-10-17 | 8:00 PM MDT | UTA | 24.0% | 2.90 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM MDT | MIN | 60.4% | 3.33 | 2.91 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM MDT | CAR | 44.1% | 3.02 | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-24 | 5:00 PM MDT | TOR | 51.4% | 3.28 | 4.34 |
| 2026-10-26 | 7:30 PM MDT | DET | 45.9% | 2.99 | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-28 | 6:30 PM MDT | CGY | 50.4% | 2.98 | 2.68 |
| 2026-10-31 | 2:00 PM EDT | NYI | 47.5% | 3.11 | 2.83 |