San Jose Sharks Playoff Odds & Team Stats
San Jose Sharks
SJS
Western
Season Record:
3-3-0
(6 pts, 50.0%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
50.0%
6 pts in 6 games
Overtime Record
3-0
OT/SO: 3 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.27
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.95
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-1.62
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+2.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
4
3W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
49.7%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.2%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.1%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
34.8/gm · p16
Slot Location style
21.8% · p3
Finishing variance
1.19 G/xG · p81
Shot Quality
0.063 xG/sh · p9
Defense
Shot Suppression
45.4/gm · p19
Slot Defense
33.5% allowed · p16
Goaltending variance
0.86 GA/xGA · p56
Quality Allowed
0.087 xG/sh · p12
Regression Watch
San Jose Sharks is finishing 15% above expected (1.15). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 6 | 17 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 6 | 20 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 6 | 12 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 4 | 10 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Macklin Celebrini | 4 | 19 | 0.9 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | BOS | 34.5% | 2.70 | 3.14 | 3.06 | 3.96 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | EDM | 31.5% | 2.15 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 3.98 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | STL | 37.3% | 2.97 | 3.68 | 2.43 | 3.41 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | DAL | 25.2% | 3.35 | 4.17 | 1.66 | 4.37 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | LAK | 57.3% | 3.35 | 3.16 | 1.86 | 4.08 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | FLA | 35.1% | 4.91 | 4.22 | 3.30 | 3.88 | W |
| 2026-04-16 | WPG | 39.9% | 3.26 | 3.16 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-15 | CHI | 60.5% | 3.17 | 3.08 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-13 | NSH | 53.9% | 3.24 | 3.06 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-11 | VAN | 60.3% | 3.58 | 3.26 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM CDT | NSH | 50.6% | 3.04 | 3.30 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM EDT | DET | 29.9% | 2.68 | 4.18 |
| 2026-10-19 | 7:30 PM EDT | TOR | 41.7% | 2.89 | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM EDT | MTL | 19.4% | 2.41 | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM EDT | OTT | 42.0% | 2.96 | 3.53 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | BOS | 39.1% | 2.39 | 3.08 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:30 PM PDT | BUF | 30.8% | 2.49 | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM PDT | VAN | 51.5% | 3.42 | 2.81 |