🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2026-27 Preseason

San Jose Sharks Playoff Odds & Team Stats

San Jose Sharks
SJS
Western
Season Record: 39-35-8 (86 pts, 52.4%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate

Points Percentage

52.4%
86 pts in 82 games

Overtime Record

12-8
OT/SO: 12 wins, 8 losses

Recent Expected Goals

3.29
For per game (last 10 games)

Expected Goals Against

3.36
Allowed per game (season-to-date)

xG Differential

-0.42
Expected goals for minus against (per game)

Goals Above Expected

+9.5
Actual goals for minus expected goals for

Flood Games

38
35W – 3L when a Flood occurred

Grip Games

3
2W – 1L when the Grip was held

Playoff Odds

49.7%
Chance to make playoffs.

Stanley Cup Odds

3.2%
Projected via season-long simulation.

Conference Outlook

6.1%
Western Conference title probability.

Team Style Profile

Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.

Offense
Shot Volume style 38.0/gm · p12
Slot Location style 30.6% · p91
Finishing variance 1.03 G/xG · p84
Shot Quality 0.077 xG/sh · p75
Defense
Shot Suppression 43.8/gm · p31
Slot Defense 29.4% allowed · p41
Goaltending variance 1.08 GA/xGA · p6
Quality Allowed 0.076 xG/sh · p41

Top Scorers (xG Leaders)

Player GP Shots xG Goals
Macklin Celebrini8241336.347
William Eklund7524724.516
Tyler Toffoli7725121.819
Will Smith6423919.323
Collin Graf7216419.321

Team Trends (15-game rolling)

Rolling Win Prediction Accuracy (15g)0.000.501.00Accuracy
xG Differential (15g rolling)-1.28-0.360.57xG For - Against
Goals vs xG (15g rolling)1.002.473.93Goals ForxG For
Cumulative Points vs Expected0.0094.13188.26ActualExpected

Recent Results

DateOpponentPred Win%Exp ForExp AgainstxG ForxG AgainstResult
2026-04-16WPG44.5%3.163.223.973.02W
2026-04-15CHI61.8%3.133.101.743.08L
2026-04-13NSH55.0%3.173.013.403.60W
2026-04-11VAN62.3%3.632.874.305.40L
2026-04-09ANA31.2%3.033.691.112.86L
2026-04-08EDM56.5%2.923.171.852.66L
2026-04-06CHI67.4%3.672.842.343.51W
2026-04-04NSH56.3%3.313.392.704.18L
2026-04-02TOR61.0%3.703.032.832.47W
2026-04-01ANA51.4%3.153.182.562.58W

Upcoming Games

DateLocal TimeOpponentPred Win%Exp ForExp Against
2026-10-017:00 PM PDTFLA41.1%1.863.11
2026-10-037:00 PM PDTLAK38.9%1.933.24
2026-10-057:00 PM CDTDAL49.1%3.682.56
2026-10-087:00 PM CDTSTL49.5%3.951.58
2026-10-101:00 PM PDTEDM37.5%1.833.72
2026-10-138:00 PM PDTBOS42.1%1.503.12
2026-10-157:00 PM CDTNSH54.8%3.752.53
2026-10-177:00 PM EDTDET55.4%3.772.65