New York Islanders Playoff Odds & Team Stats
New York Islanders
NYI
Eastern
Season Record:
43-34-5
(91 pts, 55.5%)
Last 5 games:
30% win rate
Points Percentage
55.5%
91 pts in 82 games
Overtime Record
14-5
OT/SO: 14 wins, 5 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.21
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.56
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.28
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-30.5
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
36
35W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
1
1W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
49.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.2%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.4%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
42.7/gm · p53
Slot Location style
27.6% · p19
Finishing variance
0.90 G/xG · p16
Shot Quality
0.074 xG/sh · p50
Defense
Shot Suppression
43.2/gm · p41
Slot Defense
29.9% allowed · p28
Goaltending variance
0.85 GA/xGA · p97
Quality Allowed
0.081 xG/sh · p6
Regression Watch
New York Islanders is finishing 11% below expected (0.89). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Lee | 82 | 316 | 31.7 | 19 |
| Bo Horvat | 68 | 321 | 31.4 | 33 |
| Mathew Barzal | 77 | 288 | 25.6 | 21 |
| Emil Heineman | 76 | 257 | 22.5 | 24 |
| Simon Holmstrom | 72 | 176 | 19.4 | 21 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | CAR | 57.2% | 2.76 | 3.06 | 2.61 | 3.00 | L |
| 2026-04-12 | MTL | 61.6% | 3.26 | 3.06 | 4.15 | 3.53 | L |
| 2026-04-11 | OTT | 39.2% | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.96 | 2.17 | L |
| 2026-04-09 | TOR | 74.1% | 4.50 | 2.49 | 6.78 | 2.30 | W |
| 2026-04-04 | CAR | 19.5% | 2.74 | 4.44 | 2.11 | 4.79 | L |
| 2026-04-03 | PHI | 53.7% | 3.09 | 3.29 | 2.30 | 5.01 | L |
| 2026-03-31 | BUF | 37.1% | 3.12 | 2.84 | 2.44 | 4.37 | L |
| 2026-03-30 | PIT | 49.8% | 3.27 | 3.29 | 2.35 | 4.55 | L |
| 2026-03-28 | FLA | 46.7% | 3.30 | 2.92 | 6.05 | 2.80 | W |
| 2026-03-26 | DAL | 49.8% | 3.04 | 3.01 | 3.22 | 3.09 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 7:30 PM EDT | NJD | 44.9% | 2.90 | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | 7:00 PM EDT | NYR | 57.7% | 3.87 | 1.81 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7:30 PM EDT | CHI | 58.5% | 2.59 | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-10 | 7:30 PM EDT | TBL | 40.2% | 2.51 | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-13 | 7:45 PM EDT | VAN | 53.8% | 2.67 | 2.88 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM EDT | OTT | 46.5% | 3.43 | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM EDT | TOR | 58.5% | 2.78 | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM EDT | ANA | 46.9% | 2.65 | 3.08 |