🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders Playoff Odds & Team Stats

New York Islanders
NYI
Eastern
Season Record: 43-34-5 (91 pts, 55.5%)
Last 5 games:
30% win rate

Points Percentage

55.5%
91 pts in 82 games

Overtime Record

14-5
OT/SO: 14 wins, 5 losses

Recent Expected Goals

3.16
For per game (last 10 games)

Expected Goals Against

3.56
Allowed per game (season-to-date)

xG Differential

-0.28
Expected goals for minus against (per game)

Goals Above Expected

-30.5
Actual goals for minus expected goals for

Flood Games

26
26W – 0L when a Flood occurred

Grip Games

0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held

Playoff Odds

0.0%
Chance to make playoffs.

Stanley Cup Odds

0.0%
Projected via season-long simulation.

Conference Outlook

0.0%
Eastern Conference title probability.

Team Style Profile

Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.

Offense
Shot Volume style 42.7/gm · p53
Slot Location style 27.6% · p19
Finishing variance 0.90 G/xG · p16
Shot Quality 0.074 xG/sh · p50
Defense
Shot Suppression 43.2/gm · p41
Slot Defense 29.9% allowed · p28
Goaltending variance 0.85 GA/xGA · p97
Quality Allowed 0.081 xG/sh · p6

Regression Watch

New York Islanders is finishing 11% below expected (0.89). This often rebounds upward.

Top Scorers (xG Leaders)

Player GP Shots xG Goals
Anders Lee8231631.719
Bo Horvat6832131.433
Mathew Barzal7728825.621
Emil Heineman7625722.524
Simon Holmstrom7217619.421

Team Trends (15-game rolling)

Rolling Win Prediction Accuracy (15g)0.000.501.00Accuracy
xG Differential (15g rolling)-1.01-0.320.37xG For - Against
Goals vs xG (15g rolling)2.273.073.87Goals ForxG For
Cumulative Points vs Expected1.35121.17241.00ActualExpected

Recent Results

DateOpponentPred Win%Exp ForExp AgainstxG ForxG AgainstResult
2026-04-14CAR42.8%2.973.652.613.00L
2026-04-12MTL56.5%3.282.664.153.53L
2026-04-11OTT42.1%3.043.302.962.17L
2026-04-09TOR75.3%4.102.716.782.30W
2026-04-04CAR21.3%2.293.742.114.79L
2026-04-03PHI55.5%3.292.882.305.01L
2026-03-31BUF29.0%2.733.112.444.37L
2026-03-30PIT53.5%3.422.982.354.55L
2026-03-28FLA52.8%3.292.726.052.80W
2026-03-26DAL46.6%3.153.123.223.09W

Upcoming Games

No upcoming games scheduled.