New York Islanders Playoff Odds & Team Stats
New York Islanders
NYI
Eastern
Season Record:
2-3-0
(4 pts, 40.0%)
Last 5 games:
30% win rate
Points Percentage
40.0%
4 pts in 5 games
Overtime Record
0-0
OT/SO: 0 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.40
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.33
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.48
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+1.8
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
2
2W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
49.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.2%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.4%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
35.4/gm · p22
Slot Location style
28.8% · p50
Finishing variance
1.13 G/xG · p72
Shot Quality
0.080 xG/sh · p62
Defense
Shot Suppression
40.2/gm · p62
Slot Defense
29.9% allowed · p44
Goaltending variance
0.78 GA/xGA · p78
Quality Allowed
0.083 xG/sh · p25
Regression Watch
New York Islanders is finishing 13% above expected (1.13). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 5 | 24 | 2.8 | 4 |
| Brayden Schenn | 5 | 12 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Victor Eklund | 4 | 10 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Emil Heineman | 5 | 10 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 4 | 13 | 0.9 | 0 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | TBL | 42.8% | 3.45 | 2.96 | 2.40 | 2.95 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | CHI | 75.2% | 4.22 | 2.41 | 3.07 | 2.40 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | NYR | 44.0% | 3.37 | 2.96 | 2.31 | 4.64 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | NJD | 44.9% | 4.72 | 4.72 | 3.69 | 3.77 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | TOR | 38.8% | 2.86 | 3.59 | 2.73 | 2.87 | L |
| 2026-04-14 | CAR | 58.0% | 2.84 | 3.24 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-12 | MTL | 62.2% | 3.28 | 3.22 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-11 | OTT | 35.4% | 2.83 | 3.44 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-09 | TOR | 71.4% | 3.85 | 2.95 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-04 | CAR | 20.9% | 2.61 | 3.58 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | 7:45 PM EDT | VAN | 67.3% | 3.55 | 2.61 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM EDT | OTT | 46.5% | 2.86 | 3.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM EDT | TOR | 51.7% | 2.87 | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM EDT | ANA | 66.2% | 3.21 | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:30 PM EDT | LAK | 63.4% | 3.14 | 2.88 |
| 2026-10-25 | 5:00 PM CDT | DAL | 33.3% | 2.51 | 3.62 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM CDT | NSH | 54.1% | 3.16 | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM CDT | MIN | 59.5% | 3.08 | 2.89 |