Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI
Eastern
Season Record:
47-31-14
(108 pts, 58.7%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
Points Percentage
58.7%
108 pts in 92 games
Overtime Record
17-14
OT/SO: 17 wins, 14 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.93
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.05
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.19
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-23.9
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
37
34W – 3L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
3
3W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
45.8%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.8%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.7%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
39.1/gm · p19
Slot Location style
30.3% · p88
Finishing variance
0.92 G/xG · p22
Shot Quality
0.082 xG/sh · p91
Defense
Shot Suppression
39.6/gm · p88
Slot Defense
28.3% allowed · p59
Goaltending variance
1.01 GA/xGA · p34
Quality Allowed
0.073 xG/sh · p75
Regression Watch
Philadelphia Flyers is finishing 8% below expected (0.92). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Tippett | 86 | 351 | 33.3 | 29 |
| Travis Konecny | 85 | 291 | 29.3 | 30 |
| Christian Dvorak | 83 | 249 | 27.8 | 18 |
| Trevor Zegras | 85 | 294 | 27.8 | 35 |
| Matvei Michkov | 81 | 259 | 24.5 | 24 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | CAR | 62.9% | 3.05 | 3.12 | 2.91 | 3.32 | L |
| 2026-05-07 | CAR | 61.7% | 2.94 | 3.14 | 1.99 | 4.08 | L |
| 2026-05-04 | CAR | 29.1% | 2.55 | 3.55 | 3.92 | 4.75 | L |
| 2026-05-02 | CAR | 29.8% | 2.11 | 3.78 | 2.34 | 2.61 | L |
| 2026-04-29 | PIT | 45.9% | 2.59 | 3.16 | 3.07 | 4.53 | W |
| 2026-04-27 | PIT | 52.5% | 3.39 | 3.12 | 2.08 | 3.96 | L |
| 2026-04-25 | PIT | 56.2% | 2.68 | 3.50 | 3.02 | 2.73 | L |
| 2026-04-22 | PIT | 55.7% | 3.61 | 3.29 | 3.78 | 2.76 | W |
| 2026-04-20 | PIT | 57.6% | 3.10 | 2.95 | 3.03 | 2.33 | W |
| 2026-04-18 | PIT | 46.8% | 3.24 | 3.33 | 3.21 | 1.41 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 7:00 PM EDT | NJD | 57.5% | 4.04 | 2.38 |
| 2026-10-03 | 7:00 PM EDT | CAR | 36.1% | 2.78 | 4.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | 7:00 PM EDT | TBL | 49.4% | 4.01 | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7:00 PM EDT | OTT | 49.2% | 4.04 | 2.62 |
| 2026-10-10 | 1:00 PM EDT | BOS | 59.0% | 3.81 | 2.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | 7:00 PM EDT | CAR | 36.1% | 2.75 | 4.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | 7:00 PM EDT | SEA | 51.6% | 1.55 | 4.28 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM EDT | DET | 61.7% | 3.90 | 2.36 |