Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI
Eastern
Season Record:
0-5-3
(3 pts, 18.8%)
Last 5 games:
0% win rate
Points Percentage
18.8%
3 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
0-3
OT/SO: 0 wins, 3 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.02
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
4.01
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-1.65
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-7.9
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
1
0W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
45.8%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.8%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.7%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
31.3/gm · p3
Slot Location style
24.5% · p9
Finishing variance
0.55 G/xG · p3
Shot Quality
0.068 xG/sh · p16
Defense
Shot Suppression
51.7/gm · p3
Slot Defense
29.0% allowed · p62
Goaltending variance
0.98 GA/xGA · p50
Quality Allowed
0.079 xG/sh · p47
Regression Watch
Philadelphia Flyers is finishing 42% below expected (0.58). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Foerster | 8 | 26 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Trevor Zegras | 7 | 17 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Owen Tippett | 7 | 30 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Matvei Michkov | 7 | 13 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Travis Konecny | 5 | 13 | 1.2 | 0 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | SEA | 36.9% | 2.35 | 3.64 | 4.40 | 4.34 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | CAR | 20.8% | 2.28 | 4.13 | 1.69 | 3.36 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | BOS | 24.0% | 2.02 | 3.41 | 1.26 | 3.31 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | OTT | 28.4% | 4.17 | 4.50 | 3.71 | 2.46 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | TBL | 19.8% | 2.54 | 4.68 | 1.75 | 5.57 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | CAR | 44.2% | 3.27 | 3.02 | 2.50 | 4.38 | L |
| 2026-10-01 | NJD | 28.6% | 4.68 | 3.04 | 1.85 | 4.13 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | PIT | 46.2% | 2.52 | 4.24 | 1.70 | 4.54 | L |
| 2026-05-09 | CAR | 63.1% | 3.23 | 3.25 | - | - | L |
| 2026-05-07 | CAR | 61.3% | 3.11 | 3.21 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 7:30 PM EDT | DET | 27.2% | 3.27 | 3.73 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM EDT | OTT | 48.3% | 3.17 | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-19 | 7:00 PM EDT | COL | 31.5% | 1.64 | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-21 | 7:30 PM EDT | BUF | 27.0% | 2.99 | 5.26 |
| 2026-10-24 | 1:00 PM EDT | ANA | 48.1% | 3.14 | 4.49 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM EDT | CBJ | 36.9% | 2.79 | 2.98 |
| 2026-10-28 | 7:30 PM EDT | WSH | 18.8% | 2.50 | 3.88 |
| 2026-11-01 | 4:00 PM EST | UTA | 26.1% | 2.71 | 3.61 |