Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI
Eastern
Season Record:
47-31-14
(108 pts, 58.7%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
Points Percentage
58.7%
108 pts in 92 games
Overtime Record
17-14
OT/SO: 17 wins, 14 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.27
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.05
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.19
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-23.9
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
26
26W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
2
2W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
100.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
1.7%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.3%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
39.1/gm · p19
Slot Location style
30.3% · p88
Finishing variance
0.92 G/xG · p22
Shot Quality
0.082 xG/sh · p91
Defense
Shot Suppression
39.6/gm · p88
Slot Defense
28.3% allowed · p59
Goaltending variance
1.01 GA/xGA · p34
Quality Allowed
0.073 xG/sh · p75
Regression Watch
Philadelphia Flyers is finishing 8% below expected (0.92). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Tippett | 86 | 351 | 33.3 | 29 |
| Travis Konecny | 85 | 291 | 29.3 | 30 |
| Christian Dvorak | 83 | 249 | 27.8 | 18 |
| Trevor Zegras | 85 | 294 | 27.8 | 35 |
| Matvei Michkov | 81 | 259 | 24.5 | 24 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | CAR | 44.9% | 3.51 | 2.95 | 2.91 | 3.32 | L |
| 2026-05-07 | CAR | 47.2% | 3.73 | 2.74 | 1.99 | 4.08 | L |
| 2026-05-04 | CAR | 34.9% | 2.33 | 3.52 | 3.92 | 4.75 | L |
| 2026-05-02 | CAR | 36.7% | 2.45 | 3.68 | 2.34 | 2.61 | L |
| 2026-04-29 | PIT | 55.4% | 3.93 | 3.04 | 3.07 | 4.53 | W |
| 2026-04-27 | PIT | 43.5% | 3.17 | 3.22 | 2.08 | 3.96 | L |
| 2026-04-25 | PIT | 48.3% | 3.12 | 3.72 | 3.02 | 2.73 | L |
| 2026-04-22 | PIT | 46.4% | 4.11 | 3.49 | 3.78 | 2.76 | W |
| 2026-04-20 | PIT | 52.3% | 2.81 | 2.95 | 3.03 | 2.33 | W |
| 2026-04-18 | PIT | 45.6% | 3.51 | 3.22 | 3.21 | 1.41 | W |
Upcoming Games
No upcoming games scheduled.