Colorado Avalanche Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Colorado Avalanche
COL
Western
Season Record:
63-21-11
(137 pts, 72.1%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
72.1%
137 pts in 95 games
Overtime Record
9-11
OT/SO: 9 wins, 11 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.74
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.93
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.84
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-5.3
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
54
49W – 5L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
9
7W – 2L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
48.9%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.1%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.9%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
49.4/gm · p97
Slot Location style
29.0% · p59
Finishing variance
1.03 G/xG · p81
Shot Quality
0.074 xG/sh · p44
Defense
Shot Suppression
40.5/gm · p78
Slot Defense
27.1% allowed · p84
Goaltending variance
0.84 GA/xGA · p100
Quality Allowed
0.069 xG/sh · p97
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 93 | 550 | 52.7 | 63 |
| Martin Necas | 89 | 361 | 33.9 | 43 |
| Brock Nelson | 90 | 306 | 33.1 | 35 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 75 | 262 | 28.6 | 24 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 80 | 276 | 27.5 | 23 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | VGK | 63.9% | 3.40 | 2.72 | 1.91 | 3.26 | L |
| 2026-05-24 | VGK | 64.0% | 3.35 | 2.78 | 3.71 | 4.23 | L |
| 2026-05-22 | VGK | 61.6% | 3.29 | 2.84 | 2.41 | 2.90 | L |
| 2026-05-20 | VGK | 58.6% | 3.15 | 2.94 | 3.10 | 4.70 | L |
| 2026-05-13 | MIN | 66.7% | 4.20 | 2.64 | 3.55 | 1.98 | W |
| 2026-05-11 | MIN | 61.2% | 3.22 | 2.60 | 5.99 | 2.67 | W |
| 2026-05-09 | MIN | 61.2% | 3.34 | 2.62 | 3.33 | 4.14 | L |
| 2026-05-05 | MIN | 70.3% | 4.25 | 2.79 | 3.04 | 3.45 | W |
| 2026-05-03 | MIN | 74.9% | 6.14 | 3.77 | 4.48 | 2.97 | W |
| 2026-04-26 | LAK | 46.1% | 3.01 | 2.46 | 3.07 | 2.04 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 7:00 PM MDT | STL | 52.5% | 1.80 | 3.83 |
| 2026-10-07 | 6:30 PM CDT | WPG | 65.1% | 4.45 | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7:00 PM MDT | CGY | 67.7% | 4.91 | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-10 | 5:00 PM MDT | TOR | 47.6% | 2.91 | 3.57 |
| 2026-10-13 | 7:30 PM CDT | DAL | 61.3% | 4.15 | 1.97 |
| 2026-10-14 | 7:30 PM MDT | DAL | 51.6% | 1.97 | 2.87 |
| 2026-10-16 | 7:00 PM MDT | PIT | 52.2% | 1.92 | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-19 | 7:00 PM EDT | PHI | 61.5% | 4.38 | 1.27 |