Buffalo Sabres Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Buffalo Sabres
BUF
Eastern
Season Record:
57-27-11
(125 pts, 65.8%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
65.8%
125 pts in 95 games
Overtime Record
8-11
OT/SO: 8 wins, 11 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.29
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.31
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.09
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+14.9
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
38
37W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
1
1W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
100.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
1.3%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
4.0%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
42.7/gm · p50
Slot Location style
28.4% · p47
Finishing variance
1.09 G/xG · p94
Shot Quality
0.076 xG/sh · p62
Defense
Shot Suppression
44.3/gm · p22
Slot Defense
28.1% allowed · p66
Goaltending variance
0.90 GA/xGA · p84
Quality Allowed
0.074 xG/sh · p69
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 94 | 488 | 40.7 | 47 |
| Alex Tuch | 91 | 394 | 32.2 | 38 |
| Josh Doan | 88 | 301 | 30.7 | 28 |
| Jack Quinn | 92 | 349 | 30.6 | 27 |
| Jason Zucker | 67 | 231 | 24.7 | 26 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | MTL | 66.9% | 3.42 | 2.83 | 4.49 | 2.90 | L |
| 2026-05-16 | MTL | 60.9% | 3.20 | 3.04 | 5.10 | 2.56 | W |
| 2026-05-14 | MTL | 66.6% | 3.40 | 2.18 | 3.84 | 3.66 | L |
| 2026-05-12 | MTL | 57.7% | 3.05 | 2.98 | 3.51 | 3.62 | W |
| 2026-05-10 | MTL | 53.7% | 2.88 | 2.87 | 3.64 | 5.86 | L |
| 2026-05-08 | MTL | 58.2% | 3.20 | 2.39 | 2.29 | 4.35 | L |
| 2026-05-06 | MTL | 66.7% | 3.33 | 2.47 | 2.68 | 2.82 | W |
| 2026-05-01 | BOS | 59.4% | 3.34 | 3.29 | 4.32 | 1.91 | W |
| 2026-04-28 | BOS | 65.5% | 3.66 | 2.63 | 3.06 | 3.20 | L |
| 2026-04-26 | BOS | 62.0% | 3.39 | 2.75 | 4.01 | 2.25 | W |
Upcoming Games
No upcoming games scheduled.