Buffalo Sabres Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Buffalo Sabres
BUF
Eastern
Season Record:
57-27-11
(125 pts, 65.8%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
65.8%
125 pts in 95 games
Overtime Record
8-11
OT/SO: 8 wins, 11 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.43
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.31
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.09
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+14.9
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
47
39W – 8L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
2
1W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
55.3%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.7%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
7.1%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
42.7/gm · p50
Slot Location style
28.4% · p47
Finishing variance
1.09 G/xG · p94
Shot Quality
0.076 xG/sh · p62
Defense
Shot Suppression
44.3/gm · p22
Slot Defense
28.1% allowed · p66
Goaltending variance
0.90 GA/xGA · p84
Quality Allowed
0.074 xG/sh · p69
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 94 | 488 | 40.7 | 47 |
| Alex Tuch | 91 | 394 | 32.2 | 38 |
| Josh Doan | 88 | 301 | 30.7 | 28 |
| Jack Quinn | 92 | 349 | 30.6 | 27 |
| Jason Zucker | 67 | 231 | 24.7 | 26 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | MTL | 65.8% | 3.52 | 2.95 | 4.49 | 2.90 | L |
| 2026-05-16 | MTL | 60.3% | 3.47 | 3.04 | 5.10 | 2.56 | W |
| 2026-05-14 | MTL | 61.7% | 3.42 | 3.01 | 3.84 | 3.66 | L |
| 2026-05-12 | MTL | 59.5% | 3.15 | 2.87 | 3.51 | 3.62 | W |
| 2026-05-10 | MTL | 49.4% | 3.03 | 3.02 | 3.64 | 5.86 | L |
| 2026-05-08 | MTL | 57.2% | 3.13 | 3.00 | 2.29 | 4.35 | L |
| 2026-05-06 | MTL | 62.4% | 3.45 | 2.82 | 2.68 | 2.82 | W |
| 2026-05-01 | BOS | 57.9% | 3.44 | 2.77 | 4.32 | 1.91 | W |
| 2026-04-28 | BOS | 64.1% | 4.05 | 2.78 | 3.06 | 3.20 | L |
| 2026-04-26 | BOS | 61.9% | 3.58 | 2.60 | 4.01 | 2.25 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 7:00 PM EDT | CBJ | 55.3% | 3.10 | 2.37 |
| 2026-10-03 | 7:00 PM EDT | CHI | 58.6% | 3.56 | 3.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | 8:00 PM EDT | MIN | 51.6% | 3.18 | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7:00 PM EDT | DAL | 42.9% | 3.03 | 3.25 |
| 2026-10-10 | 7:00 PM EDT | UTA | 42.6% | 2.72 | 3.22 |
| 2026-10-12 | 1:00 PM EDT | FLA | 47.2% | 3.03 | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-13 | 6:30 PM EDT | MTL | 54.5% | 3.07 | 2.43 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM EDT | TOR | 58.9% | 3.23 | 1.94 |