🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live

Detroit Red Wings Playoff Odds & Team Stats

Detroit Red Wings
DET
Eastern
Season Record: 41-31-10 (92 pts, 56.1%)
Last 5 games:
20% win rate

Points Percentage

56.1%
92 pts in 82 games

Overtime Record

11-10
OT/SO: 11 wins, 10 losses

Recent Expected Goals

3.06
For per game (last 10 games)

Expected Goals Against

3.29
Allowed per game (season-to-date)

xG Differential

+0.01
Expected goals for minus against (per game)

Goals Above Expected

-25.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for

Flood Games

27
25W – 2L when a Flood occurred

Grip Games

3
1W – 2L when the Grip was held

Playoff Odds

0.0%
Chance to make playoffs.

Stanley Cup Odds

0.0%
Projected via season-long simulation.

Conference Outlook

0.0%
Eastern Conference title probability.

Team Style Profile

Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.

Offense
Shot Volume style 43.4/gm · p66
Slot Location style 27.6% · p22
Finishing variance 0.91 G/xG · p19
Shot Quality 0.074 xG/sh · p47
Defense
Shot Suppression 43.0/gm · p44
Slot Defense 29.2% allowed · p47
Goaltending variance 0.95 GA/xGA · p62
Quality Allowed 0.076 xG/sh · p47

Regression Watch

Detroit Red Wings is finishing 9% below expected (0.91). This often rebounds upward.

Top Scorers (xG Leaders)

Player GP Shots xG Goals
Alex DeBrincat8144740.242
Dylan Larkin7435236.934
Lucas Raymond7627523.227
Patrick Kane6424820.318
Andrew Copp7418520.09

Team Trends (15-game rolling)

Rolling Win Prediction Accuracy (15g)0.000.501.00Accuracy
xG Differential (15g rolling)-0.670.070.81xG For - Against
Goals vs xG (15g rolling)2.203.605.00Goals ForxG For
Cumulative Points vs Expected0.00126.00252.00ActualExpected

Recent Results

DateOpponentPred Win%Exp ForExp AgainstxG ForxG AgainstResult
2026-04-15FLA43.8%2.873.152.543.97L
2026-04-13TBL35.9%2.683.943.082.89L
2026-04-11NJD50.5%3.272.823.334.63L
2026-04-09PHI47.9%3.202.881.932.56W
2026-04-07CBJ49.6%2.993.374.655.06L
2026-04-05MIN51.5%3.083.112.692.93L
2026-04-04NYR49.8%3.283.063.583.40L
2026-04-02PHI42.2%2.953.142.064.37W
2026-03-31PIT43.9%2.783.382.874.17L
2026-03-28PHI45.8%3.492.372.844.30L

Upcoming Games

No upcoming games scheduled.