Detroit Red Wings Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Detroit Red Wings
DET
Eastern
Season Record:
41-31-10
(92 pts, 56.1%)
Last 5 games:
20% win rate
Points Percentage
56.1%
92 pts in 82 games
Overtime Record
11-10
OT/SO: 11 wins, 10 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.05
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.29
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.01
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-25.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
40
33W – 7L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
3
1W – 2L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
55.7%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.4%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
7.0%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
43.4/gm · p66
Slot Location style
27.6% · p22
Finishing variance
0.91 G/xG · p19
Shot Quality
0.074 xG/sh · p47
Defense
Shot Suppression
43.0/gm · p44
Slot Defense
29.2% allowed · p47
Goaltending variance
0.95 GA/xGA · p62
Quality Allowed
0.076 xG/sh · p47
Regression Watch
Detroit Red Wings is finishing 9% below expected (0.91). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 81 | 447 | 40.2 | 42 |
| Dylan Larkin | 74 | 352 | 36.9 | 34 |
| Lucas Raymond | 76 | 275 | 23.2 | 27 |
| Patrick Kane | 64 | 248 | 20.3 | 18 |
| Andrew Copp | 74 | 185 | 20.0 | 9 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | FLA | 45.3% | 2.88 | 3.34 | 2.54 | 3.97 | L |
| 2026-04-13 | TBL | 38.6% | 2.82 | 3.49 | 3.08 | 2.89 | L |
| 2026-04-11 | NJD | 47.0% | 3.20 | 3.23 | 3.33 | 4.63 | L |
| 2026-04-09 | PHI | 43.1% | 3.27 | 3.44 | 1.93 | 2.56 | W |
| 2026-04-07 | CBJ | 44.8% | 3.16 | 3.95 | 4.65 | 5.06 | L |
| 2026-04-05 | MIN | 50.2% | 3.10 | 3.27 | 2.69 | 2.93 | L |
| 2026-04-04 | NYR | 48.1% | 2.90 | 3.23 | 3.58 | 3.40 | L |
| 2026-04-02 | PHI | 42.8% | 2.86 | 3.08 | 2.06 | 4.37 | W |
| 2026-03-31 | PIT | 44.4% | 2.81 | 3.57 | 2.87 | 4.17 | L |
| 2026-03-28 | PHI | 47.0% | 3.52 | 2.97 | 2.84 | 4.30 | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 6:30 PM EDT | NYR | 44.1% | 2.31 | 3.60 |
| 2026-10-04 | 1:00 PM EDT | WPG | 41.8% | 2.28 | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-06 | 7:00 PM EDT | OTT | 37.1% | 2.23 | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-09 | 7:00 PM EDT | SEA | 45.4% | 2.62 | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-10 | 7:00 PM EDT | MTL | 44.0% | 2.75 | 3.23 |
| 2026-10-13 | 6:00 PM EDT | NJD | 38.0% | 2.26 | 3.32 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM EDT | PHI | 38.3% | 2.36 | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM EDT | SJS | 44.6% | 2.65 | 3.77 |