Detroit Red Wings Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Detroit Red Wings
DET
Eastern
Season Record:
1-3-2
(4 pts, 33.3%)
Last 5 games:
20% win rate
Points Percentage
33.3%
4 pts in 6 games
Overtime Record
0-2
OT/SO: 0 wins, 2 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.26
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.77
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.17
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-7.6
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
2
1W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
55.7%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.4%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
7.0%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
47.5/gm · p88
Slot Location style
30.5% · p72
Finishing variance
0.70 G/xG · p19
Shot Quality
0.075 xG/sh · p47
Defense
Shot Suppression
36.8/gm · p78
Slot Defense
29.3% allowed · p56
Goaltending variance
1.14 GA/xGA · p38
Quality Allowed
0.083 xG/sh · p19
Regression Watch
Detroit Red Wings is finishing 35% below expected (0.65). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 6 | 28 | 3.3 | 2 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 6 | 35 | 3.2 | 4 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 6 | 22 | 2.4 | 3 |
| Lucas Raymond | 6 | 27 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 6 | 14 | 1.5 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | NJD | 54.1% | 3.21 | 2.93 | 2.22 | 4.91 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | MTL | 33.5% | 2.89 | 3.52 | 5.00 | 5.48 | L |
| 2026-10-09 | SEA | 61.7% | 3.80 | 2.57 | 4.07 | 3.48 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | OTT | 71.5% | 3.72 | 5.20 | 3.78 | 2.73 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | WPG | 65.1% | 2.82 | 3.73 | 4.78 | 3.04 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | NYR | 53.2% | 3.74 | 2.85 | 1.71 | 3.00 | L |
| 2026-04-15 | FLA | 45.2% | 2.87 | 3.66 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-13 | TBL | 39.8% | 2.93 | 3.41 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-11 | NJD | 49.8% | 3.12 | 3.00 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-09 | PHI | 45.1% | 3.48 | 3.44 | - | - | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 7:30 PM EDT | PHI | 72.8% | 3.73 | 3.27 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM EDT | SJS | 70.1% | 4.18 | 2.68 |
| 2026-10-20 | 6:40 PM PDT | SEA | 51.4% | 3.19 | 3.02 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM PDT | VAN | 52.7% | 3.46 | 2.69 |
| 2026-10-24 | 8:00 PM MDT | CGY | 41.4% | 2.95 | 3.06 |
| 2026-10-26 | 7:30 PM MDT | EDM | 54.1% | 3.87 | 2.99 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:30 PM EDT | CHI | 74.3% | 3.96 | 2.22 |
| 2026-10-31 | 1:00 PM EDT | STL | 53.2% | 2.97 | 3.60 |