Vegas Golden Knights Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK
Western
Season Record:
6-2-0
(12 pts, 75.0%)
Last 5 games:
60% win rate
Points Percentage
75.0%
12 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
2-0
OT/SO: 2 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.40
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.72
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+1.01
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+1.1
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
4
4W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
2
2W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
45.1%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.7%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.8%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
45.2/gm · p78
Slot Location style
31.9% · p84
Finishing variance
1.03 G/xG · p62
Shot Quality
0.082 xG/sh · p75
Defense
Shot Suppression
35.2/gm · p92
Slot Defense
26.1% allowed · p78
Goaltending variance
0.99 GA/xGA · p47
Quality Allowed
0.063 xG/sh · p100
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl | 8 | 34 | 4.7 | 4 |
| Mark Stone | 7 | 25 | 3.4 | 3 |
| Brett Howden | 7 | 25 | 2.6 | 2 |
| Jack Eichel | 8 | 30 | 2.6 | 4 |
| Trevor Connelly | 7 | 26 | 2.4 | 3 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | NSH | 61.4% | 3.10 | 2.81 | 1.92 | 2.52 | W |
| 2026-10-12 | MIN | 70.0% | 3.11 | 2.79 | 3.06 | 4.31 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | LAK | 68.9% | 3.69 | 3.04 | 2.60 | 1.89 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | TOR | 57.3% | 3.11 | 4.13 | 6.47 | 3.79 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | SEA | 58.1% | 3.12 | 3.03 | 3.66 | 2.64 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | VAN | 54.7% | 4.02 | 2.25 | 4.41 | 1.62 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | ANA | 74.7% | 4.65 | 2.25 | 3.44 | 2.74 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | CHI | 54.8% | 3.55 | 2.70 | 4.34 | 2.27 | W |
| 2026-06-14 | CAR | 53.7% | 3.33 | 2.89 | - | - | L |
| 2026-06-11 | CAR | 36.7% | 2.36 | 3.44 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM PDT | CGY | 69.2% | 3.60 | 2.86 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM PDT | PIT | 63.5% | 3.15 | 3.33 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:30 PM PDT | TBL | 50.0% | 3.35 | 3.17 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM CDT | STL | 54.2% | 2.99 | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | CBJ | 53.1% | 3.52 | 3.07 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM PDT | OTT | 71.7% | 3.63 | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-30 | 3:00 PM PDT | NJD | 53.3% | 2.99 | 2.87 |
| 2026-11-02 | 7:00 PM EST | BOS | 53.8% | 3.26 | 3.21 |