New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-10-14 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 48.6%

NYI: 51.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.97

NYI: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	28	25	3	89.3%	3.07	2	0.07
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	41	35	6	85.4%	4.60	3	-1.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYI: 11-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	0	0.96
1	NYI	7	0	0.48
2	CAR	26	1	1.48
2	NYI	20	1	1.71
3	CAR	19	2	2.15
3	NYI	11	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5