Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-10-13 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 48.6%

WPG: 51.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.96

WPG: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	34	33	1	97.1%	3.04	0	2.04
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	22	18	4	81.8%	3.39	2	-0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG
2025-01-02	WPG 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	9	1	1.49
1	WPG	24	0	1.33
2	ANA	14	0	0.81
2	WPG	13	0	1.13
3	ANA	10	1	1.09
3	WPG	11	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5