Chicago Blackhawks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-10-15 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

Win Probability

NJD: 52.3%

CHI: 47.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.99

CHI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

NJD

J. Bernier

CHI

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	J. Bernier	27	24	3	88.9%	3.03	2	0.03
CHI	K. Lankinen	29	25	4	86.2%	3.29	1	-0.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NJD at home vs CHI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	NJD 5 - 3 CHI	NJD	NJD
2025-11-12	CHI 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-03-26	CHI 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-14	NJD 4 - 1 CHI	NJD	NJD
2024-01-05	NJD 4 - 2 CHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	9	0	0.75
1	CHI	8	0	0.39
2	NJD	17	1	1.14
2	CHI	13	1	1.29
3	NJD	16	0	1.24
3	CHI	15	1	1.35
4	NJD	1	0	0.15
4	CHI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0