Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-10-15 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 61.4%

MIN: 38.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.77

MIN: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

ANA

A. Stolarz

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	43	41	2	95.3%	3.48	0	1.48
MIN	C. Talbot	29	28	1	96.6%	2.59	0	1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • ANA at home vs MIN: 0-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ANA	13	0.73
1	MIN	20	1.06
2	ANA	17	0.77
2	MIN	22	1.29
3	ANA	13	1.09
3	MIN	18	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.8 - 3.7