New York Islanders at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-10-16 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

FLA: 63.9%

NYI: 36.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.27

NYI: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 62%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	30	29	1	96.7%	2.07	0	1.07
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	29	24	5	82.8%	2.63	0	-2.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYI: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	FLA	8	0.59
1	NYI	14	0.82
2	FLA	14	0.93
2	NYI	16	0.67
3	FLA	22	1.11
3	NYI	13	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 4.3 - 3.3