Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2021-10-16 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 54.8%

CAR: 45.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.42

CAR: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 55%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	32	29	3	90.6%	3.95	3	0.95
CAR	Frederik Andersen	40	38	2	95.0%	3.06	0	1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	NSH 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-06	CAR 6 - 3 NSH	CAR	CAR
2025-03-25	CAR 1 - 3 NSH	NSH	CAR
2024-12-23	NSH 5 - 2 CAR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-27	NSH 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	15	0	0.68
1	CAR	15	0	0.93
2	NSH	17	0	1.26
2	CAR	13	0	1.09
3	NSH	15	0	1.12
3	CAR	16	3	1.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.4 - 2.7