Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-10-16 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

LAK: 49.4%

MIN: 50.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.97

MIN: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

LAK

J. Quick

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	30	27	3	90.0%	2.57	1	-0.43
MIN	C. Talbot	31	29	2	93.5%	2.65	1	0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • LAK at home vs MIN: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	LAK 4 - 2 MIN	LAK	LAK
2026-01-03	LAK 5 - 4 MIN	LAK	LAK
2025-10-13	MIN 4 - 3 LAK	MIN	MIN
2025-03-17	MIN 3 - 1 LAK	MIN	MIN
2024-12-07	LAK 4 - 1 MIN	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	17	0	1.15
1	MIN	18	0	1.21
2	LAK	14	1	0.79
2	MIN	15	1	1.25
3	LAK	15	0	0.70
3	MIN	6	0	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5