Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-10-16 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

SJS: 52.5%

WPG: 47.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.08

WPG: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

SJS

A. Hill

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	A. Hill	23	20	3	87.0%	1.73	0	-1.27
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	31	27	4	87.1%	2.72	0	-1.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs WPG: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SJS	13	0.53
1	WPG	12	0.61
2	SJS	17	0.93
2	WPG	7	0.66
3	SJS	16	1.25
3	WPG	11	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9