Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2021-10-19 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 47.8%

CBJ: 52.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.91

CBJ: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

DET

T. Greiss

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	T. Greiss	23	22	1	95.7%	2.24	2	1.24
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	45	41	4	91.1%	6.73	7	2.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DET at home vs CBJ: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	DET 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-04	CBJ 6 - 5 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-22	DET 4 - 3 CBJ	DET	DET
2025-03-01	CBJ 5 - 3 DET	CBJ	DET
2025-02-27	DET 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	14	0	0.89
1	CBJ	8	1	0.54
2	DET	23	3	2.54
2	CBJ	11	0	0.53
3	DET	19	4	3.30
3	CBJ	19	1	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1