New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2021-10-19 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CHI: 49.1%

NYI: 50.9%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.41

NYI: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 54%

CHI

M. Fleury

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	29	25	4	86.2%	1.68	0	-2.32
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	40	39	1	97.5%	3.23	1	2.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs NYI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	NYI 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	NYI
2025-12-30	CHI 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2024-12-15	CHI 5 - 3 NYI	CHI	NYI
2024-12-12	NYI 5 - 4 CHI	NYI	NYI
2024-04-02	NYI 2 - 1 CHI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	21	1	1.38
1	NYI	14	0	0.63
2	CHI	18	0	1.13
2	NYI	13	0	0.63
3	CHI	11	0	0.71
3	NYI	10	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3