Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2021-10-19 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

EDM: 71.3%

ANA: 28.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.22

ANA: 2.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 49%

EDM

M. Smith

ANA

A. Stolarz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Smith	36	31	5	86.1%	3.94	2	-1.06
ANA	A. Stolarz	37	31	6	83.8%	4.91	3	-1.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • EDM at home vs ANA: 10-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	EDM
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	1	1.10
1	ANA	13	0	0.98
2	EDM	18	0	1.63
2	ANA	19	2	1.89
3	EDM	14	2	2.18
3	ANA	14	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.2