Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2021-10-21 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CHI: 37.4%

VAN: 62.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.87

VAN: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

CHI

K. Lankinen

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	K. Lankinen	25	21	4	84.0%	2.99	1	-1.01
VAN	Thatcher Demko	30	29	1	96.7%	3.01	1	2.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • CHI at home vs VAN: 0-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	CHI 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-11-05	VAN 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	VAN
2025-10-17	CHI 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-03-15	VAN 6 - 2 CHI	VAN	VAN
2024-11-16	VAN 4 - 1 CHI	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	12	0	0.97
1	VAN	14	0	0.50
2	CHI	12	1	0.86
2	VAN	17	0	0.97
3	CHI	13	0	1.17
3	VAN	10	1	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4