New York Rangers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2021-10-21 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 72.9%

NYR: 27.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.88

NYR: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	27	3	90.0%	3.69	1	0.69
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	29	28	1	96.6%	2.15	0	1.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs NYR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	NSH 2 - 1 NYR	NSH	NSH
2025-11-10	NYR 6 - 3 NSH	NYR	NYR
2025-03-02	NYR 4 - 0 NSH	NYR	NYR
2024-12-17	NSH 2 - 0 NYR	NSH	NSH
2023-12-02	NSH 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	0	1.33
1	NYR	13	0	0.83
2	NSH	16	0	0.57
2	NYR	16	0	1.07
3	NSH	7	0	0.25
3	NYR	16	1	1.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 72.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7