Edmonton Oilers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2021-10-21 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

ARI: 44.6%

EDM: 55.4%

Expected Goals

ARI: 1.95

EDM: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	31	26	5	83.9%	2.44	1	-2.56
EDM	M. Koskinen	28	27	1	96.4%	1.61	0	0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs EDM: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-17	ARI 5 - 2 EDM	ARI	EDM
2024-04-12	EDM 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	EDM
2024-02-19	ARI 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2023-03-27	ARI 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2023-03-22	EDM 4 - 3 ARI	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	0	0.69
1	EDM	12	0	0.61
2	ARI	13	0	0.59
2	EDM	17	0	0.91
3	ARI	11	0	0.33
3	EDM	15	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 4.6

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 1.9 - 2.6