Los Angeles Kings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-10-23 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 7 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

STL: 68.6%

LAK: 31.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.06

LAK: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 49%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	35	32	3	91.4%	2.91	1	-0.09
LAK	C. Petersen	40	33	7	82.5%	3.80	1	-3.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • STL at home vs LAK: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	17	0	0.84
1	LAK	15	1	1.15
2	STL	18	1	1.87
2	LAK	19	0	0.68
3	STL	15	0	1.08
3	LAK	14	0	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 7 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9