Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-10-23 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 71.3%

ANA: 28.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 4.13

ANA: 1.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

MIN

C. Talbot

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	24	21	3	87.5%	1.80	1	-1.20
ANA	John Gibson	36	32	4	88.9%	2.65	0	-1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs ANA: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.77
1	ANA	10	1	0.81
2	MIN	18	0	1.05
2	ANA	11	0	0.46
3	MIN	7	0	0.50
3	ANA	9	0	0.39
4	MIN	6	0	0.33
4	ANA	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.1 - 1.7