Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-10-23 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

SEA: 36.9%

VAN: 63.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.79

VAN: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	26	22	4	84.6%	2.40	2	-1.60
VAN	Thatcher Demko	31	29	2	93.5%	2.53	0	0.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • SEA at home vs VAN: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	17	0	0.97
1	VAN	18	0	0.43
2	SEA	18	0	0.67
2	VAN	10	0	0.56
3	SEA	16	0	0.89
3	VAN	15	2	1.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.5