San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2021-10-24 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

BOS: 62.5%

SJS: 37.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.94

SJS: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

BOS

L. Ullmark

SJS

A. Hill

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	26	23	3	88.5%	1.70	2	-1.30
SJS	A. Hill	34	30	4	88.2%	2.29	1	-1.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • BOS at home vs SJS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	BOS 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	BOS
2025-11-23	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS
2025-03-22	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	BOS
2025-01-20	BOS 6 - 3 SJS	BOS	BOS
2023-11-30	BOS 3 - 0 SJS	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	15	0	0.51
1	SJS	13	2	0.89
2	BOS	16	1	0.81
2	SJS	8	0	0.25
3	BOS	17	0	0.97
3	SJS	13	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.9 - 3.0