Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-10-24 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 68.6%

NSH: 31.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.27

NSH: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

MIN

K. Kahkonen

NSH

C. Ingram

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	K. Kahkonen	29	24	5	82.8%	4.01	1	-0.99
NSH	C. Ingram	35	33	2	94.3%	2.48	1	0.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MIN at home vs NSH: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NSH 2 - 1 MIN	NSH	MIN
2026-02-04	NSH 5 - 6 MIN	MIN	NSH
2025-12-23	MIN 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-11-04	MIN 3 - 2 NSH	MIN	MIN
2025-01-18	NSH 6 - 2 MIN	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	0	0.27
1	NSH	17	0	1.61
2	MIN	16	1	1.06
2	NSH	14	0	1.09
3	MIN	20	0	1.14
3	NSH	12	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9