Arizona Coyotes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2021-10-25 • FLA Live Arena
Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Arizona Coyotes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 60.2%
ARI: 39.8%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.48
ARI: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA
ARI
C. Hutton
| Stat | FLA | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.000 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 0.00 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | Spencer Knight | 21 | 18 | 3 | 85.7% | 1.49 | 1 | -1.51 |
| ARI | C. Hutton | 41 | 36 | 5 | 87.8% | 3.58 | 1 | -1.42 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs ARI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-24 | FLA 6 - 2 ARI | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-01-02 | ARI 1 - 4 FLA | FLA | ARI |
| 2023-01-03 | FLA 5 - 3 ARI | FLA | FLA |
| 2022-11-01 | ARI 3 - 1 FLA | ARI | FLA |
| 2021-12-10 | ARI 1 - 3 FLA | FLA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 15 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 1 | ARI | 5 | 1 | 0.35 |
| 2 | FLA | 25 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 2 | ARI | 8 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 3 | FLA | 14 | 1 | 1.82 |
| 3 | ARI | 14 | 0 | 0.68 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Arizona Coyotes
Expected: 3.5 - 3.3
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