Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-10-26 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

VAN: 35.0%

MIN: 65.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.69

MIN: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	30	27	3	90.0%	2.64	2	-0.36
MIN	C. Talbot	24	22	2	91.7%	1.96	0	-0.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • VAN at home vs MIN: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	0	0.62
1	MIN	14	1	1.17
2	VAN	14	0	0.98
2	MIN	14	1	0.94
3	VAN	9	0	0.36
3	MIN	7	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4