Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-10-26 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 51.9%

WPG: 48.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.07

WPG: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 38%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	25	21	4	84.0%	2.55	0	-1.45
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	35	32	3	91.4%	3.79	0	0.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG
2025-01-02	WPG 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ANA	17	1.38
1	WPG	10	0.46
2	ANA	24	1.51
2	WPG	13	1.19
3	ANA	10	0.90
3	WPG	16	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8