Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2021-10-27 • FLA Live Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 1 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 50.9%
BOS: 49.1%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.72
BOS: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA
BOS
L. Ullmark
| Stat | FLA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | Sergei Bobrovsky | 31 | 30 | 1 | 96.8% | 3.18 | 3 | 2.18 |
| BOS | L. Ullmark | 27 | 23 | 4 | 85.2% | 3.37 | 2 | -0.63 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs BOS: 8-7
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | FLA 2 - 1 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-02-04 | FLA 5 - 4 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3 - 2 FLA | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-01-11 | FLA 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 7 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 1 | BOS | 19 | 1 | 1.59 |
| 2 | FLA | 19 | 0 | 1.21 |
| 2 | BOS | 6 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 3 | FLA | 13 | 2 | 1.77 |
| 3 | BOS | 16 | 2 | 1.25 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 1 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.7 - 3.0
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