Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-10-28 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 4 Buffalo Sabres (OT)

Win Probability

ANA: 49.1%

BUF: 50.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.80

BUF: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

ANA

A. Stolarz

BUF

C. Anderson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	29	25	4	86.2%	2.55	0	-1.45
BUF	C. Anderson	37	34	3	91.9%	3.32	0	0.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • ANA at home vs BUF: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	ANA 6 - 5 BUF	ANA	ANA
2026-01-10	BUF 5 - 3 ANA	BUF	BUF
2025-02-25	BUF 3 - 2 ANA	BUF	BUF
2024-11-22	ANA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-02-19	BUF 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	ANA	19	1.40
1	BUF	15	0.82
2	ANA	13	0.88
2	BUF	18	1.18
3	ANA	14	0.98
3	BUF	6	0.29
4	ANA	1	0.06
4	BUF	3	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4