Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-10-28 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (66% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 34.5%

MIN: 65.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.56

MIN: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 44%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	31	30	1	96.8%	2.11	0	1.11
MIN	C. Talbot	38	34	4	89.5%	3.49	3	-0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • SEA at home vs MIN: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MIN 5 - 2 SEA	MIN	MIN
2026-01-08	SEA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-08	SEA 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA
2025-03-19	MIN 4 - 0 SEA	MIN	MIN
2025-03-04	SEA 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	15	0	0.75
1	MIN	11	0	0.91
2	SEA	24	1	1.75
2	MIN	5	0	0.21
3	SEA	9	2	0.98
3	MIN	22	0	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.6 - 3.4