Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2021-10-29 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Florida Panthers (OT)

Win Probability

DET: 46.5%

FLA: 53.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.99

FLA: 3.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	33	30	3	90.9%	3.58	4	0.58
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	30	28	2	93.3%	3.71	2	1.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs FLA: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	17	1	1.70
1	FLA	13	1	0.84
2	DET	11	0	0.75
2	FLA	17	1	1.13
3	DET	12	1	1.07
3	FLA	10	1	0.95
4	DET	1	0	0.19
4	FLA	4	1	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5