Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2021-10-29 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

NYR: 50.7%

CBJ: 49.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.93

CBJ: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	31	31	0	100.0%	2.85	1	2.85
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	37	33	4	89.2%	3.32	0	-0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs CBJ: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	18	0	1.29
1	CBJ	15	0	0.58
2	NYR	20	0	1.22
2	CBJ	12	0	0.78
3	NYR	13	0	0.81
3	CBJ	18	1	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2